Time-Varying Information, Strategic Informed Trading, and Price Dynamics

Author(s):  
Ming Guo
Author(s):  
Guglielmo Maria Caporale ◽  
Davide Ciferri ◽  
Alessandro Girardi

2013 ◽  
Vol 61 (1) ◽  
pp. 78-97 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guglielmo Maria Caporale ◽  
Davide Ciferri ◽  
Alessandro Girardi

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (17) ◽  
pp. 4479
Author(s):  
Soohyeon Kim ◽  
Surim Oh

The rise of shale resources in the United States is changing the petrochemical industries. Ethylene, the first building block of petrochemical products, is becoming the first target to be hit by the shale boom, and its shifting price dynamics needs to be explored. This study analyzes the transition of ethylene prices from crude oil to natural gas (vertical price dynamics) and investigates widening gaps among regional ethylene prices (horizontal price dynamics). To do this, we detect structural changes in cointegrating relationships and derive time-varying cointegration equations. In addition, for the long- and short-run dynamics, this study established and estimated an error correction model (ECM), with controlling, time-varying cointegrations. This study develops econometric studies by applying time-varying cointegration to nonenergy uses of fossil fuels. Thereby, our results discover that the feedstock structure of US ethylene is moving from crude oil to natural gas and that the comovement of US and Japanese prices is getting intensified.


2005 ◽  
Vol 37 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-35 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jean-Paul Chavas ◽  
Kwansoo Kim

In this paper, we present an econometric analysis of the effects of a price floor on price dynamics and price volatility. A price floor (implemented as a part of government pricing policy) provides a censoring mechanism for price determination. We specify and estimate a dynamic Tobit model under time-varying volatility. The model is applied to analyze the effects of a price support program on price dynamics and price volatility in the U.S. American cheese market. The econometric analysis provides useful insights on price dynamics in the presence of a government-determined price floor.


Author(s):  
Marti G. Subrahmanyam ◽  
Kose John ◽  
Apoorva Koticha ◽  
Ranga Narayanan

2010 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guglielmo Maria Caporale ◽  
Davide Ciferri ◽  
Alessandro Girardi

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