Insolvency Risk in the Italian Non-life Insurance Companies. An Empirical Analysis Based on a Cash Flow Simulation Model

Author(s):  
Simone Ceccarelli
2004 ◽  
Vol 30 (5) ◽  
pp. 76-96 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fabiano Colombini ◽  
Simone Ceccarelli

This paper discusses dynamic financial approaches to solvency analysis in non‐life insurance companies by explaining cash flow simulation models which are based on the planning of their typical cash inflows and outflows. Posits that these models take into account patterns of loss reserve run‐offs and asset cash flows by implementing several hypotheses that also include expectations about external economic conditions such as inflation rates and interest rates. Acknowledges the cash inflows and outflows have been planned over a period of time to evaluate how positive net cash flow (liquidity) leads to the increase in assets over liabilities (solvency).


1973 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard C. Grinold ◽  
Robert M. Oliver

The purpose of insurance is to accumulate funds to fulfill obligations to its clients, as well as to invest further in the expansion of insurance activities and the development of the country's economy. The success of insurance companies depends to a large extent on their financial status, that is, financial stability and solvency. The financial condition of an insurance company is characterized by the indicators that describe its ability to develop and successfully operate in a competitive market environment. The stable financial condition of the insurer is a guarantee of development in the conditions of the market economy and an insurance of the stability of the development of the insurance market in the country. The purpose of this research is to assess the financial stability of a non-life insurance company and to analyze the main factors affecting it with the use of computer simulation modelling. The simulation model covers the main processes of the non-life insurance company and is based on the application of financial analysis methods, economic and mathematical methods, and modern simulation technologies. Based on the simulation model, the financial stability of the insurance company is assessed, namely the analysis of the insurance company’s profitability, income, expenses, indicators of profitability; the coefficients of financial stability of the insurance fund and the level of insurance reserves for the analysis of the adequacy of the insurance fund are calculated; the actual and normative solvency margin is calculated for controlling the fulfillment of solvency conditions; the solvency ratio (autonomy) is calculated; the equity ratio is calculated and an analysis of the adequacy of equity is carried out. The developed simulation model can be used to increase the level of planning and analytical reporting, to improve methods of conducting insurance operations, to plan and forecast the activity, and to increase the validity of managerial decisions.


2002 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 249-268 ◽  
Author(s):  
ANDERS GROSEN ◽  
PETER LØCHTE JØRGENSEN

This paper develops and estimates a model for the bonus-crediting mechanism in relation to with-profits policies issued by Danish life insurance and pension companies. The market for pension and life insurance savings contracts is generally highly opaque, but our proposed model explains a significant part of the variation in actual bonus distribution by Danish market participants. The main determinant of bonus policy is a measure of the degree of solvency which we construct from a unique data set that contains information compiled from several public as well as non-public sources. The data set spans the ten-year period from 1991 to 2000 and the model is estimated by way of maximum likelihood.


1981 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 3565-3572
Author(s):  
M. Rajkov ◽  
S. Andrić

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 87-97
Author(s):  
Nana Diana ◽  
Tati Apriani

This study aims to examine the influence of investment returns and Risk Based Capital (RBC) Tabarru Funds to the profit of sharia life insurance in Indonesia from 2014-2019. This study The type of this research is quantitative research with descriptive verification as a method. This research method uses descriptive verification method with quantitative approach. The data used in this study were sourced from the financial statements of Islamic life insurance companies in Indonesia for the 2014-2019 period. Then the data obtained were analyzed using multiple linear regression analysis and hypothesis testing consisting of t test and f test with the help of SPSS 21 software. The sampling technique uses non probability sampling with purposive sampling technique. Based on the results of the study it can be seen that the development of investment returns on Sharia Life Insurance in Indonesia has fluctuated and even suffered losses. While the development of Risk Based Capital (RBC) has increased and decreased but overall above 120% as determined by the government. Likewise, the profits earned in each year fluctuate. The results of statistical tests show that investment results partially have a positive effect on profit and Risk Based Capital (RBC) of Tabarru funds partially has a negative effect on profit. Simultaneously investment return and Risk Based Capital (RBC) affect on profit. In addition, the results of the coefficient of determination (R2) were obtained which obtained a value of 81%. This shows that the variable investment returns and Risk Based Capital (RBC) can affect earnings by 81% and the remaining 19% is influenced by other variables not used in this study.


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