Pitfalls of Monetary Policy Under the Incomplete Information: Imprecise Indicators and Real Indeterminacy

2004 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eugenio Gaiotti
2016 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 161-178 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles Richard Barrett ◽  
Ioanna Kokores ◽  
Somnath Sen

2017 ◽  
Vol 65 (1) ◽  
pp. 37-70 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christopher Gust ◽  
Benjamin K. Johannsen ◽  
J. David López-Salido

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 (099) ◽  
pp. 1-41 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christopher Gust ◽  
◽  
Benjamin K. Johannsen ◽  
David Lopez-Salido ◽  
◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Rafael Portillo ◽  
Filiz Unsal ◽  
Stephen O’Connell ◽  
Catherine Pattillo

This chapter shows that limited effects of monetary policy can reflect shortcomings of existing policy frameworks in low-income countries rather than (or in addition to) the structural features often put forward in policy and academic debates. The chapter focuses on two pervasive issues: lack of effective frameworks for implementing policy, so that short-term interest rates display considerable unintended volatility, and poor communication about policy intent. The authors introduce these features into an otherwise standard New Keynesian model with incomplete information. Implementation errors result from insufficient accommodation to money demand shocks, creating a noisy wedge between actual and intended interest rates. The representative private agent must then infer policy intentions from movements in interest rates and money. Under these conditions, even exogenous and persistent changes in the stance of monetary policy can have weak effects, even when the underlying transmission (as might be observed under complete information) is strong.


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