The Exchange Rate Exposure of UK Nonfinancial Companies: Industry-Level Analysis

Author(s):  
Ahmed A.T. El-Masry
2021 ◽  
pp. 227853372110337
Author(s):  
Zakiya Begum Sayed ◽  
J. Gayathri

Exchange rate exposure is a strategic decision in finance and risk management at both the micro and macro level of business operations. Literature on the measurement, and management of this risk, has had no consensus on the factors affecting it as these factors seem to be dynamic. In an effort to consider a comprehensive study at the firm level, this article examines the exchange rate exposure of 271 constituent firms from the BSE S&P 500 index. The study period was 2001 to 2020 divided into sub-periods around the financial crises of 2008. The study uses two contemporary approaches (the capital market approach and the cash flow approach) and five relevant exchange rates (USD, EURO, GBP, JPY, and REER) to measure the foreign exchange. The sample firms were divided into 10 industrial sectors to identify the factors that lead to exposure of firms to exchange rate volatility. We use multinomial logistic regression to regress the select factors with the measured value of exchange rate exposure. The findings of the article suggest that multinationality, fixed asset utilization ratio, hedging activities, industrial sectors, size, and age of the firms are the significant determinants of such exposure. The results varied during the sub-periods and across industries.


2015 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
pp. 1631-1657 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kris Boudt ◽  
Fang Liu ◽  
Piet Sercu

Abstract We extend the constant-elasticity regression that is the default choice when equities’ exposure to currencies is estimated. In a proper real-option-style model for the exporters’ equity exposure to the foreign exchange rate, we argue, the convexity of the relationship implies that the elasticity should depend on the exchange rate level. For instance, it should shrink to zero when the option to export becomes worthless, and that should happen at a critical exchange rate that is still strictly positive. We propose a class of tractable multi-regime regression models featuring, in line with the real-options logic, smooth transitions and within-regime dynamics in the foreign exchange exposure. We then analyze the exchange rate exposure of Chinese exporting firms and find that the model in which the moneyness of the export option has a positive impact on the exchange rate exposure detects a significantly positive and convex exposure for 40% and 65% of the firms depending on whether the market return is included in the regression or not.


Author(s):  
Jaratin Lily ◽  
Imbarine Bujang ◽  
Mori Kogid ◽  
Debbra Toria Nipo ◽  
Sidah Idris

Due to the potential adverse effects of exchange rate fluctuations on the economy, the exchange rate study has remained a significant subject of empirical investigation (Bartram & Bodnar, 2007; Iannuzzi & Berardi, 2010). Although there is a wide range of research, empirical evidence has shown mixed support for the theory of exchange rate exposure. The reason for this is that, for both developed and developing countries, the proportion of firms exposed to exchange rate movements is lower than expected by the theory. A study by El-Masry et al. (2007) on the UK, for example, non-financial firms reported that less than 30% of the firms sampled had significant USD and Japanese yen exposure. This was referred to as the puzzle on exchange rate exposure (Bartram et al., 2010; Bartram & Bodnar, 2007; Dimitriou et al., 2013; Hutson & Laing, 2014; Kang et al., 2016; Makar & Huffman, 2013; Takagi & Shi, 2011). Re-examining the previous literature on the traditional exchange rate exposure model based on CAPM shows that some previous studies in frontier and emerging markets (Bacha et al., 2013; Du et al., 2014; Jorion, 1990; Lin, 2011; Muller & Verschoor, 2007; Parsley & Popper, 2006; Verschoor & Muller, 2007; Ye et al., 2014) have paid less attention to some critical problems that could lead to inefficiency in the exchange rate exposure model to fully capture the exposure of the firm to the exchange rate. One of the issues is that the exposure to the exchange rate has had a time variance or is not constant over time. This is due to the fact that there is a potential instability of the risk exposure of the firm because the changing environment can affect the competitive position of the firm, the operational structure and the hedge strategies (Bartram et al., 2010; Parsley & Popper, 2006). Thus, it is unrealistic to assume that the exchange rate exposure of a firm remains constant over time, because the risk structure of any given firm will vary over time (Dominguez & Tesar, 2006; Pierdzioch & Kizys, 2010). For example, companies dynamically adjust their risk structures (e.g., exposure to exchange rate risk) in response to their internal and external environments. Therefore, this paper aims to investigate the time-varying exchange rate exposure of large non-financial firms' share returns in selected Asian and emerging countries to explore alternative explanations for the exchange rate exposure puzzle. Keywords: Exchange Rate Exposure, Time-Varying, Global Financial Crisis, Asian Countries, Emerging Countries, Frontier Countries


2001 ◽  
Author(s):  
John A. Doukas ◽  
Patricia H. Hall ◽  
Larry H.P. Lang

2000 ◽  
Vol 03 (02) ◽  
pp. 201-233 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chaoshin Chiao ◽  
Ken Hung

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the exchange-rate exposure of Taiwanese exporting firms. Particularly, we consider the effects of the timing of the three liberalization events through which the government carried out explicit policies to open gradually its foreign exchange and stock markets. First, we cannot corroborate that most exporting firms are individually exposed to exchange-rate risk. However, we cannot reject that the exporting firms are jointly exposed to exchange-rate risk in all sub-periods. Second, the timing of the three liberalization events greatly affects the exchange-rate exposure of Taiwanese exporting firms. Finally, the determinants of possibly time-varying exchange-rate exposure of exporting firms are exports-to-sales ratio, firm size, and the timing of the three liberalization events.


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