scholarly journals Potential demographic dividend for India, 2001 to 2061: A macro-simulation projection using the spectrum model

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
NEHA JAIN ◽  
Srinivas Goli
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Neha Jain ◽  
Srinivas Goli

This paper projects potential demographic dividend for India for the period from 2001 to 2061 by using simulation modelling software, Spectrum 5.753 which integrates demographic and socio-economic changes. Two key findings, after checking their robustness, from the simulation modelling are: First, the effective demographic windows of opportunity for India is available for the period between 2011 and 2041, giving India roughly 30 years of demographic bonus. It is the period where the maximum of the first demographic dividend can be reaped before the ageing burden starts. Second, favourable demographic changes alone provide a demographic dividend of over 165,000 rupees (almost an additional 43 percentage) in terms of GDP per capita by 2061 when integrated with supporting socio-economic policy environment in terms of investment in human capital, family planning, decent employment opportunities, the rapid pace of urbanization, and agricultural growth.


2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 7-15
Author(s):  
Clifford O. Odimegwu ◽  
Emmanuel O. Olamijuwon

Abstract The demographic changes occurring in Mali, evident in high fertility but declining mortality rates have raised optimism about the prospects of reaping demographic dividend. However, it remains unclear how soon and what policy scenario would yield the largest demographic dividend in the country. We used a demographic-economic model “DemDiv” to assess the prospects of reaping a demographic dividend in Mali by 2050. We illuminate this further by examining the cost and implications of different combination of education, family planning and economic policies. The results show that by increasing access to education, family planning services coupled with strong economic reforms, Mali’s GDP per capita will be $27,044 by 2050. This high per capita GDP is almost thrice the benefit of prioritising only economic reforms. Mali would also have a GDP of $977 billion. These findings highlight the need for sound demographic and market-oriented economic policies for Mali to reap a large demographic dividend by 2050.


2019 ◽  
Vol 118 (1) ◽  
pp. 101-113
Author(s):  
SNIGDHA PREETHI R. V ◽  
Dr. M. VALLIAPPAN

The present study details the women employment and the overwhelming potential help for women to get the economic power and to change a gender connection on the employment market. Working women pick up a considerable measure of new skill and abilities associated with driving an organization as well as with personal improvement. Besides, they also conceded that more prominent support women in the market may contribute to defeat a stereotypical picture of woman as a mother and spouse. This is fought to be principally a result of structural shifts in the economy, changing effect of wage and substitution effects and an increase in instruction levels of women in the populace. Our results also suggest that development without any other person's information is not sufficient to increase women's economic activity, but instead the dynamics of development matter. These findings are especially imperative to help design policies to enhance women's work force cooperation rate so that India can take complete favorable position of its upcoming demographic dividend.


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