A Robust Textual Analysis of the Dynamics of Hong Kong Property Market

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ken Wong ◽  
Max Kwong ◽  
Paul Luk ◽  
Michael Cheng
Keyword(s):  
Hong Kong ◽  
Textual Analysis ◽  
Property Market

International Real Estate Review

1998 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 64-80
Author(s):  
Jia He ◽  
◽  
Ming Liu ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Hong Kong ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Real Estate ◽  
Seasonal Pattern ◽  
Property Market ◽  
Mortgage Loans ◽  
Adjustable Rate ◽  
The Interest Rate

A study on the prepayment behavior of Hong Kong mortgage loans is conducted. With all of the loans as adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs), we find that 1) Prepayment speeds up and then slows down as the mortgage seasons; 2) Prepayment speeds up as the rate markup decreases; 3) Prepayment speeds up as the interest rate increases; 4) Prepayment speeds up when the profitability ratio of the banks ( the prime-HIBOR spread) is higher; 5) Prepayment speeds up as the price of the property market falls; 6) Prepayment speed is faster for loans with a lower loan-to-value ratio; 7) Prepayment exhibits a seasonal pattern: people tend to prepay in the summer.

scholarly journals BRE INDEX FOR THE HONG KONG RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY MARKET

2004 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 105-119 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eddie Chi Man Hui ◽  
Joe Tak Yun Wong
Keyword(s):  
Hong Kong ◽  
Housing Price ◽  
Capital Gains ◽  
Residential Property ◽  
Property Market ◽  
Price Expectations ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Market Outlook ◽  
Price Trends ◽  
Residential Market

This paper examines housing price trends and prediction, of homeowners and potential home buyers, and establishes an independent index (the BRE Index) based on longitudinal telephone surveys collected. The Index, first of this kind in Hong Kong, measures price expectations and benchmarks the level of housing actors’ confidence in the residential market. This is the first paper delivered as part of a government‐funded research project. It synthesizes the key findings of the first survey mounted from 17th to 20th December, 2003. The results show that confidence among housing actors has begun to grow since the property crash in late 1997 with the “overall” BRE Index standing at 564 (0–1000 range). In general, homeowners, people with higher educational level and higher income are optimistic about the market outlook. Residential property prices are expected to rise marginally in the short term. Statistically, there is no significant difference in housing price expectations between homeowners and non‐owners. In their minds, economic condition is the most important factor affecting housing decisions. Apparently, the rising trends in the immediate past have been used to form expectations. The strength of the association between actual capital gains and forecast capital gains is moderately strong, and there appears co‐movement between them. This leads us to believe that hope‐led expectations increase the likelihood of sustaining price increases. The current market is largely driven by expectations. If households formed their expectations in a similar manner in other periods, there would be similar “positive hit” results, which might render the Index more powerful.

scholarly journals International Real Estate Review

2010 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-29
Author(s):  
Sam K. Hui ◽  
◽  
Alvin Cheung ◽  
Jimmy Pang ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hong Kong ◽  
Real Estate ◽  
Statistical Method ◽  
Bayesian Approach ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Average Price ◽  
Residential Real Estate ◽  
Property Market ◽  
Residential Properties ◽  
Expert Assessments

We have developed a statistical method for the valuation of residential properties using a hierarchical Bayesian approach, which takes into consideration the unique structure of the Hong Kong property market. Our model is calibrated on a dataset that covers all residential real estate transactions in ten major Hong Kong residential complexes from February 2008 to February 2009. Although parsimonious, our model outperforms other valuation methods that are based on average price-per-square- feet or expert assessments. By providing our model-based valuations online without charge, we hope to improve transparency in the Hong Kong housing market, thus enabling consumers to make better investment decisions.

Terminating Architecture: Mega-Development in Hong Kong

2013 ◽  
Vol 30 (7-8) ◽  
pp. 277-289
Author(s):  
Li Shiqiao
Keyword(s):  
Hong Kong ◽  
Scale Development ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Mass Transit ◽  
Development Projects ◽  
Financial Viability ◽  
Property Market ◽  
Railway Stations ◽  
Railway Systems ◽  
Physical Features

This paper examines large development projects as a function of finance in the context of Hong Kong, taking Kowloon Station as an exceptionally revealing case. Hong Kong's property market is one of the most established in Asia, and it points to the ways in which large-scale development schemes proliferate along efficient and affordable mass transit railway systems with great speed and success. At Kowloon Station, finance redefines architecture; instead of focusing on aesthetics and community, it is now promoting standardization, market visibility and semantic control. The financial viability of these developments depends entirely on these new goals; mega-developments such as Kowloon Station – and those in other parts of Asia – are successful in inventing major mass transit railway stations as terminals, in capturing commuters within spatial enclosures surrounded by barrier-like physical features, and in terminating architecture as it has long been established as a discipline. Mega-development is increasingly reinventing the contemporary Asian city.

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