Foreign Exchange Intervention Rules for Central Banks: A Risk-Based Framework

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Romain Lafarguette ◽  
Romain Veyrune
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Foreign Exchange Intervention

scholarly journals Dirty float or clean intervention? The Bank of England in the foreign exchange market

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alain Naef
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Foreign Exchange Market ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Exchange Market ◽  
Central Bank Intervention ◽  
Foreign Exchange Intervention ◽  
Developed Economies ◽  
Bank Of England ◽  
The 1960S

Abstract The effectiveness of central bank intervention is debated and despite literature showing mixed results, central banks regularly intervene in the foreign exchange market, both in developing and developed economies. Does foreign exchange intervention work? Using over 60,000 new daily observations on intervention and exchange rates, this paper is the first to study the Bank of England's foreign exchange intervention between 1952 and 1972. The main finding is that the Bank was unsuccessful in managing a credible exchange rate over that period. Running an event study, I demonstrate that betting systematically against the Bank of England would have been a profitable trading strategy. Pressures increased in the 1960s and the Bank eventually manipulated the publication of its reserve figures to avoid a run on sterling.

scholarly journals How Powerful Is Unannounced, Sterilized Foreign Exchange Intervention?

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alain Naef ◽  
Jacob Weber
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Foreign Exchange Market ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Exchange Market ◽  
Foreign Exchange Intervention ◽  
Bretton Woods ◽  
Bank Of England ◽  
Sterilized Foreign Exchange Intervention

Though most central banks actively intervene on the foreign exchange market, the literature offers mixed evidence on their effectiveness: particularly for unannounced interventions. We use new, declassified data from the archives of the Bank of England and the institutional features of the Bretton Woods era to estimate the effects of intervention on the exchange rate. We find that a purchase of pounds equivalent to 1% of the money supply causes a statistically significant, 4-5 basis point appreciation in the pound.

scholarly journals Dirty float or clean intervention? The Bank of England in the foreign exchange market

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alain Naef
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Foreign Exchange Market ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Exchange Market ◽  
Central Bank Intervention ◽  
Foreign Exchange Intervention ◽  
Developed Economies ◽  
Bank Of England ◽  
The 1960S

The effectiveness of central bank intervention is debated and despite literature showing mixed results, central banks regularly intervene in the foreign exchange market, both in developing and developed economies. Does foreign exchange intervention work? Using over 60,000 new daily observations on intervention and exchange rates, this paper is the first study of the Bank of England’s foreign exchange intervention between 1952 and 1972. The main finding is that the Bank of England was unsuccessful in managing a credible exchange rate over that period. Running an event study, I demonstrate that betting systematically against the Bank of England would have been a profitable trading strategy. Pressures increased in the 1960s and the Bank eventually manipulated the publication of its reserve figures to avoid a run on sterling.

scholarly journals The Limitations of Foreign-Exchange Intervention: Lessons from Switzerland

2013 ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Owen F. Humpage
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Recent Experience ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Foreign Exchange Intervention ◽  
Monetary Authorities ◽  
National Bank

Since the mid-1990s, monetary authorities in most large developed countries have backed away from foreign-exchange intervention—buying and selling foreign currencies to influence exchange rates. Switzerland's recent experience goes a long way to illustrate why: Foreign-exchange intervention did not afford the Swiss National Bank with a means of systematically affecting the franc independent of Swiss monetary policy, and it left the Bank exposed to foreign-exchange losses. To affect exchange rates, central banks must change their monetary policies.

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