Ecological Niche Modelling to Assessment of Potential Distribution of Neodiprion Abietis (Harris, 1841) (Insecta, Hymenoptera, Diprionidae) in Eurasia

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Konstantin Grebennikov
2021 ◽  
Vol 82 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Isaac Omotayo Olabimi ◽  
Kayode David Ileke ◽  
Babasola Williams Adu ◽  
Temitope Emmanuel Arotolu

Abstract Background Mosquitoes are key vectors for the transmission of several diseases. Anopheles gambiae is known to transmit pathogens of malaria and filariasis. Due to several anthropogenic factors such as climate change and population growth leading to diverse land use, their distribution and disease spreading pattern may change. This study estimated the potential distribution and climatic suitability of An. gambiae under the present-day and future conditions across Southwest Nigeria using Ecological Niche Modelling (ENM). The future scenarios assessed were based on two general circulation models (GCMs), namely community climate system model 4 (CCSM4) and geophysical fluid dynamics laboratory-climate model 3 (GFDL-CM3), in two representative concentration pathways (RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5). Methodology The occurrence data were obtained from literatures that have reported the presence of An. gambiae mosquito species in locations within the study area. Ecological niche modelling data were processed and analysed using maximum entropy algorithm implemented in MaxEnt. Result Fifty-five (55) unique occurrences of An. gambiae were used in the model calibration after data cleaning. Data analysis for the present-day habitat suitability shows that more than two-thirds (81.71%) of the study area was observed to be suitable for An. gambiae population. However, the two future GCMs showed contrasting results. The CCSM4 models indicated a slight increase in both RCPs with 2.5 and 8.5 having 81.77 and 82.34% suitability, respectively. The reverse was the case for the GFDL-CM3 models as RCPs 2.5 and 8.5 had 78.86 and 76.86%. Conclusion This study revealed that the study area is climatically suitable for An. gambiae and will continue to be so in the future irrespective of the contrasting results from the GCMs used. Since vector population is often linked with their disease transmission capacity, proper measures must be put in place to mitigate disease incidences associated with the activities of An. gambiae.


2009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Renata L Stange ◽  
Fabiana S Santana ◽  
Bruna Buani ◽  
Pedro L. P Correa ◽  
Antonio M Saraiva

2014 ◽  
Vol 176 (3) ◽  
pp. 332-348 ◽  
Author(s):  
Verônica A. Thode ◽  
Gustavo A. Silva-Arias ◽  
Caroline Turchetto ◽  
Ana Lúcia A. Segatto ◽  
Geraldo Mäder ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pascaline Salvado ◽  
Pere Aymerich Boixader ◽  
Josep Parera ◽  
Albert Vila Bonfill ◽  
Maria Martin ◽  
...  

Species endemic to restricted geographical ranges represent a particular conservation issue, be it for their heritage interest. In a context of global change, this is particularly the case for plants which belong to high-mountain ecosystems and, because of their ecological requirements, are doomed to survive or disappear on their "sky islands". The Pyrenean Larkspur (Delphinium montanum, Ranunculaceae) is endemic to the Eastern part of the Pyrenees (France and Spain). It is now only observable at a dozen of localities and some populations show signs of decline, such as a recurrent lack of flowering. Implementing population genomic approach (e.g. RAD-seq like) is particularly useful to understand genomic patterns of diversity and differentiation in order to provide recommendations in term of conservation. However, it remains challenging for species such as D. montanum that are autotetraploid with a large genome size (1C-value > 10 pg) as most methods currently available were developed for diploid species. A Bayesian framework able to call genotypes with uncertainty allowed us to assess genetic diversity and population structure in this system. Our results show evidence for inbreeding (mean GIS = 0.361) within all the populations and substantial population structure (mean GST = 0.403) at the metapopulation level. In addition to a lack of connectivity between populations, spatial projections of Ecological Niche Modelling analyses under different climatic scenarios predict a dramatic decrease of suitable habitat for D. montanum in the future. Based on these results, we discuss the relevance and feasibility of different conservation measures.


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