How Does the Novel Coronavirus Kill? A Machine Learning Approach

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Logan Ryan ◽  
Huaqin Pan ◽  
Samson Mataraso ◽  
Anna Lynn-Palevsky ◽  
Emily Pellegrini ◽  
...  
Author(s):  
Amir Abdollahi ◽  
Maryam Rahbaralam

AbstractThe novel coronavirus (COVID-19) has already spread to almost every country in the world and has infected over 3 million people. To understand the transmission mechanism of this highly contagious virus, it is necessary to study the potential factors, including meteorological conditions. Here, we present a machine learning approach to study the effect of temperature, humidity and wind speed on the number of infected people in the three most populous autonomous communities in Spain. We find that there is a moderate inverse correlation between temperature and the daily number of infections. This correlation manifests for temperatures recorded up to 6 days before the onset, which corresponds well to the known mean incubation period of COVID-19. We also show that the correlation for humidity and wind speed is not significant.


Critical Care ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammed Sayed ◽  
David Riaño ◽  
Jesús Villar

Abstract Background Usually, arterial oxygenation in patients with the acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) improves substantially by increasing the level of positive end-expiratory pressure (PEEP). Herein, we are proposing a novel variable [PaO2/(FiO2xPEEP) or P/FPE] for PEEP ≥ 5 to address Berlin’s definition gap for ARDS severity by using machine learning (ML) approaches. Methods We examined P/FPE values delimiting the boundaries of mild, moderate, and severe ARDS. We applied ML to predict ARDS severity after onset over time by comparing current Berlin PaO2/FiO2 criteria with P/FPE under three different scenarios. We extracted clinical data from the first 3 ICU days after ARDS onset (N = 2738, 1519, and 1341 patients, respectively) from MIMIC-III database according to Berlin criteria for severity. Then, we used the multicenter database eICU (2014–2015) and extracted data from the first 3 ICU days after ARDS onset (N = 5153, 2981, and 2326 patients, respectively). Disease progression in each database was tracked along those 3 ICU days to assess ARDS severity. Three robust ML classification techniques were implemented using Python 3.7 (LightGBM, RF, and XGBoost) for predicting ARDS severity over time. Results P/FPE ratio outperformed PaO2/FiO2 ratio in all ML models for predicting ARDS severity after onset over time (MIMIC-III: AUC 0.711–0.788 and CORR 0.376–0.566; eICU: AUC 0.734–0.873 and CORR 0.511–0.745). Conclusions The novel P/FPE ratio to assess ARDS severity after onset over time is markedly better than current PaO2/FiO2 criteria. The use of P/FPE could help to manage ARDS patients with a more precise therapeutic regimen for each ARDS category of severity.


Author(s):  
Kanika Bhalla ◽  
Ashish Kumar

Novel coronavirus has caused a global pandemic which leads to acute respiratory disorder in humans. In this study, analysis of the transmission of communicable COVID19 disease in India is done. The machine learning model presents the comparison of India with other countries during initial phase of virus spread in India. After that its comparison with initial hard-hit countries is also done. Finally, we also performed time series analysis for prediction using prophet for the next seven days showing confirmed, recovered and deaths that will happen.


Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (12) ◽  
pp. 4202
Author(s):  
Roberto Martinez-Velazquez ◽  
Diana P. Tobón V. ◽  
Alejandro Sanchez ◽  
Abdulmotaleb El Saddik ◽  
Emil Petriu

The novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 that causes the disease COVID-19 has forced us to go into our homes and limit our physical interactions with others. Economies around the world have come to a halt, with non-essential businesses being forced to close in order to prevent further propagation of the virus. Developing countries are having more difficulties due to their lack of access to diagnostic resources. In this study, we present an approach for detecting COVID-19 infections exclusively on the basis of self-reported symptoms. Such an approach is of great interest because it is relatively inexpensive and easy to deploy at either an individual or population scale. Our best model delivers a sensitivity score of 0.752, a specificity score of 0.609, and an area under the curve for the receiver operating characteristic of 0.728. These are promising results that justify continuing research efforts towards a machine learning test for detecting COVID-19.


Diabetes ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 69 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 1552-P
Author(s):  
KAZUYA FUJIHARA ◽  
MAYUKO H. YAMADA ◽  
YASUHIRO MATSUBAYASHI ◽  
MASAHIKO YAMAMOTO ◽  
TOSHIHIRO IIZUKA ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Clifford A. Brown ◽  
Jonny Dowdall ◽  
Brian Whiteaker ◽  
Lauren McIntyre

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