Testing for Purchasing Power Parity and Efficiency in the Taiwan Foreign Exchange Market - Financial and Economic Forecasting (chapter 13)

2003 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jack H.W. Penm ◽  
Jammie H. Penm ◽  
R. Deane Terrell
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Purchasing Power Parity ◽  
Foreign Exchange Market ◽  
Purchasing Power ◽  
Exchange Market ◽  
Power Parity ◽  
Economic Forecasting

The Floating Dollar in the Greenback Period: A Test of Theories of Exchange-Rate Determination

1981 ◽  
Vol 41 (3) ◽  
pp. 629-650 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lawrence H. Officer
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Purchasing Power Parity ◽  
Foreign Exchange Market ◽  
Purchasing Power ◽  
Exchange Market ◽  
Power Parity ◽  
Exchange Rate Determination ◽  
Income Effects

Some leading modern theories of exchange-rate determination are pitted against each other in explaining fundamental movements of the freely floating U.S. dollar in the foreign-exchange market during the greenback period, 1862–1878. A purchasing-power-parity theory augmented to incorporate interest-rate, and possibly income, effects provides the best explanation of the exchange rate. The standard works on the greenback period are subject to some amendments in light of the study.

Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies for International Financial Stability: A Proposal

1988 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 83-103 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ronald I McKinnon
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Purchasing Power Parity ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Foreign Exchange Market ◽  
The United States ◽  
Power Parity ◽  
Monetary Reform ◽  
Exchange Rate Fluctuations

What keeps the three major industrial blocs -- Western Europe, North America, and industrialized Asia -- from developing a common monetary standard to prevent exchange-rate fluctuations? One important reason is the differing theoretical perspectives of economic advisers. The first issue is whether or not a floating foreign exchange market -- where governments do not systematically target exchange rates -- is “efficient.” Many economists believe that exchange risk can be effectively hedged in forward markets so international monetary reform is unnecessary. Second, after a decade and a half of unremitting turbulence in the foreign exchange markets, economists cannot agree on “equilibrium” or desirable official targets for exchange rates if they were to be stabilized. The contending principles of purchasing power parity and of balanced trade yield very different estimates for the “correct” yen/dollar and mark/dollar exchange rates. Third, if the three major blocs can agree to fix nominal exchange rates within narrow bands, by what working rule should the new monetary standard be anchored to prevent worldwide inflation or deflation? After considering the magnitude of exchange-rate fluctuations since floating began in the early 1970s, I analyze these conceptual issues in the course of demonstrating how the central banks of Japan, the United States, and Germany (representing the continental European bloc) can establish fixed exchange rates and international monetary stability.

scholarly journals Testing the Validity of Purchasing Power Parity Theory and Dynamics of Exchange Rate Behavior (Pakistan, China, Iran and Turkey)

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 127-144
Author(s):  
Rana Shahid Imdad Akash ◽  
Muhammad Mudasar Ghafoor ◽  
Navid Ahmed
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Purchasing Power Parity ◽  
Foreign Exchange Market ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Activity Patterns ◽  
Purchasing Power ◽  
Power Parity ◽  
Equilibrium Relation ◽  
Long Run

Purpose: This study is aimed at to observe the purchasing power parity (PPP) Theory. The purchasing power parity (PPP) is the most enduring debate of literature in international macroeconomics. It is most controversial due to various puzzles and tested with different econometric models for certain group of countries. Therefore, the PPP is valid assumption while international comparison due to use of common exchange rate and the prevalence of Law of One price. Design/Methodology/Approach: The validity of PPP for relative countries (Pakistan, China, Iran and Turkey) was tested and analyzed for the sample period 2001 to 2018. Findings: It is observed that exchange rates of Pakistan, China, Iran and Turkey are not consistent and constant. The deviations of PPP through structural changes identified and are not persistence over long period. Overall results reflected that there is an existence of long run equilibrium relation in between Pakistan and China as well as in between Iran and Turkey. The error correction model has confirmed the adjustment speed of short run disequilibrium to long term disequilibrium level.  Implications/Originality/Value: The expected differential level of inflation has significant positive impact to exchange rate shift to Pakistan and trading activity patterns. The changes in foreign exchange market and commodity market due to economic integration are important implications for   economic globalization.

A Study On Technical Analysis With Reference To International Forex

Think India ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 1129-1144
Author(s):  
Bichith C. Sekhar ◽  
A. Umamaheswari
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Abnormal Return ◽  
Foreign Exchange Market ◽  
Relative Strength ◽  
Exchange Market ◽  
Strength Index ◽  
Technical Tool ◽  
Alpha Beta ◽  
Decentralized Market ◽  
Currency Conversion

The foreign exchange market (Forex, FX, or currency market) is a global decentralized market for the trading of currencies. The foreign exchange market assists international trade and investments by enabling currency conversion. Our study is to test the technical tools to analyze about the technical impact and its return in the market.  For this purpose 13 cross currency pairs were taken as sample size and Jensen’s Alpha, Beta, Relative Strength Index, and Buy and Hold Abnormal Return were used as technical tool for analysis and the conclusion is that it’s not preferred to invest in JPY pairs as the volatility and the return are not up to the mark and its preferred to invest in EURCAD as the return was high when compared to other scripts and the market was moving accordingly to its cross currency pair.

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