Empirical Modelling of Confirmed Covid-19 Cases in Nigeria: Forecasts and Implications

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mutiu Abimbola Oyinlola ◽  
Tolulope Osayomi ◽  
Oluwatosin Adeniyi
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Modelling

A novel approach to the real-time modelling of large urban drainage systems

1997 ◽  
Vol 36 (8-9) ◽  
pp. 19-24 ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard Norreys ◽  
Ian Cluckie
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Dynamic Models ◽  
Drainage System ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
Urban Drainage ◽  
Real Time Control ◽  
Empirical Modelling ◽  
Time Control ◽  
Novel Approach ◽  
Non Linear Systems

Conventional UDS models are mechanistic which though appropriate for design purposes are less well suited to real-time control because they are slow running, difficult to calibrate, difficult to re-calibrate in real time and have trouble handling noisy data. At Salford University a novel hybrid of dynamic and empirical modelling has been developed, to combine the speed of the empirical model with the ability to simulate complex and non-linear systems of the mechanistic/dynamic models. This paper details the ‘knowledge acquisition module’ software and how it has been applied to construct a model of a large urban drainage system. The paper goes on to detail how the model has been linked with real-time radar data inputs from the MARS c-band radar.

scholarly journals A Study of UVER in Santiago, Chile Based on Long-Term In Situ Measurements (Five Years) and Empirical Modelling

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 368
Author(s):  
Lisdelys González-Rodríguez ◽  
Amauri Pereira de Oliveira ◽  
Lien Rodríguez-López ◽  
Jorge Rosas ◽  
David Contreras ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Urban Areas ◽  
Solar Spectrum ◽  
Sun Exposure ◽  
Great Accuracy ◽  
In Situ Measurements ◽  
Uv Index ◽  
Empirical Modelling ◽  
The People

Ultraviolet radiation is a highly energetic component of the solar spectrum that needs to be monitored because is harmful to life on Earth, especially in areas where the ozone layer has been depleted, like Chile. This work is the first to address the long-term (five-year) behaviour of ultraviolet erythemal radiation (UVER) in Santiago, Chile (33.5° S, 70.7° W, 500 m) using in situ measurements and empirical modelling. Observations indicate that to alert the people on the risks of UVER overexposure, it is necessary to use, in addition to the currently available UV index (UVI), three more erythema indices: standard erythemal doses (SEDs), minimum erythemal doses (MEDs), and sun exposure time (tery). The combination of UVI, SEDs, MEDs, and tery shows that in Santiago, individuals with skin types III and IV are exposed to harmfully high UVER doses for 46% of the time that UVI indicates is safe. Empirical models predicted hourly and daily values UVER in Santiago with great accuracy and can be applied to other Chilean urban areas with similar climate. This research inspires future advances in reconstructing large datasets to analyse the UVER in Central Chile, its trends, and its changes.

Smart cities financing system: An empirical modelling from the European context

Cities ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 116 ◽  
pp. 103268
Author(s):  
Mery Blanck ◽  
José Luis Duarte Ribeiro
Keyword(s):  
Smart Cities ◽  
Financing System ◽  
Empirical Modelling ◽  
European Context

Habitat selection of sympatric Siberian Grouse and Hazel Grouse in natural and exploited forests of the lower Amur region

Ornis Fennica ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 98 (4) ◽  
pp. 142-161
Author(s):  
Tobias Ludwig ◽  
Ralf Siano ◽  
Alexander V. Andreev
Keyword(s):  
Habitat Selection ◽  
Russian Far East ◽  
Far East ◽  
Canopy Cover ◽  
Late Summer ◽  
Breeding Habitat ◽  
Empirical Modelling ◽  
Hazel Grouse ◽  
Pioneer Trees ◽  
Selection Of

The Siberian Grouse (Falcipennis falcipennis), which is endemic to the “dark-needle” taiga of the Russian Far East, is one of the least studied grouse species in the world. We examined post-breeding habitat selection of Siberian Grouse and contrasted it with that of the better examined Hazel Grouse (Tetrastes bonasia) in two areas near Komsomolsk na Amure, Russia. To infer species-specific preferences, we used field sampling, logistic regression, and AIC model selection, and compared late summer habitats of Siberian Grouse and Hazel Grouse in a mountain- and hilly area in the dark needle taiga. Our study is the first to explain Siberian Grouse habitat relationships with an empirical modelling approach. Results indicate proportions of coniferous/ pioneer trees forest and rejuvenation to be the most important covariates separating Siberian and Hazel Grouse observation sites in forests from both areas. Siberian Grouse tended to select sites with low proportions of pioneer trees and rejuvenation but availability of dwarf shrubs. Bunchberry (Cornus canadensis) appeared to be of high importance for the presence of Siberian Grouse in both regions. Hazel Grouse were common in places dominated by pioneer trees with high canopy cover, and high proportions of grass/herb cover. Hazel Grouse also occurred more often in forest sites with dense vertical layering and rejuvenation. Modern forestry, which results in increasing amounts of forests at younger successional stages, is likely to favour the Hazel Grouse at the expense of the Siberian Grouse.

Aeroacoustic Optimization of a Pressure-Side Strut Configuration for Subsonic Axial Fans Using Statistical-Empirical Modelling

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Igor Neifach ◽  
Gi-Don Na ◽  
Frank Kameier ◽  
Nils Springer ◽  
Marco Wichers
Keyword(s):  
Residential Buildings ◽  
Statistical Design ◽  
Axial Fan ◽  
Noise Emission ◽  
Public Places ◽  
Empirical Modelling ◽  
Passive Construction ◽  
Cooling Fan ◽  
Rotor Stator Interaction ◽  
Axial Fans

This paper deals with the reduction of aerodynamically generated noise in passenger car Cooling-Fan-Modules (CFM), caused by the interaction between the impeller and the downstream-located strut configuration of the axial fan. Even after the car engine is switched off, the fan remains active, as long as cooling is required for certain vehicle components. Especially after a car has been parked in closed parking areas, in close proximity to residential buildings or public places, the noise emission can be a problem. This issue is addressed by dampening the rotor-stator-interaction through passive construction measures. In order to ensure optimal noise reduction, 8 critical design features of the struts are identified and investigated using statistical design of experiment methods (DoE). Based on the results, dedicated insights about the effects of concrete strut features on significant regions of the acoustic fan spectrum are obtained. Furthermore, an optimized strut configuration is derived and metrologically validated using a polyoptimization method. Compared to a current serial baseline configuration, a reduction of the overall sound pressure level by 2.6 dB(A), as well as a reduction of the blade passage frequency tone by 17.6 dB(A) is achieved.

scholarly journals Progress in semi-empirical modelling of main-sequence stellar chromospheres

1996 ◽  
Vol 176 ◽  
pp. 547-555
Author(s):  
E.R. Houdebine
Keyword(s):  
Main Sequence ◽  
Radiation Transfer ◽  
Research Programme ◽  
Significant Progress ◽  
Wave Dissipation ◽  
Empirical Modelling ◽  
Spectral Signatures ◽  
Outer Atmosphere ◽  
Semi Empirical

We present the results of a long term research programme on the outer atmospheres of main-sequence dwarfs. Combining NLTE-radiation transfer calculations with high resolution spectroscopic observations have led to significant progress in understanding chromospheric physical properties and spectral signatures. We emphasize that in order to unravel the extremely complex physics of the outer atmosphere and its energy source, magnetic field and acoustic wave dissipation, one must isolate the influence of all stellar parameters.

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