Saving Constraints, Debt, and the Credit Market Response to Fiscal Stimulus

The stability of Russian banking sector is threatened by three negative tendencies - overheating of the credit market, significant decrease of banks capital adequacy ratios, and growing problems associated with banks lending to affiliated non-financial corporations. The co-existence of these processes reflects the crisis of the model of private investments in Russian banking sector, which was observed during the last 20 years. This paper analyzes the measures of the Bank of Russia undertaken to maintain the stability of the banking sector using the methodology of credit risk stress-testing. Based on this methodology we conclude that the Bank of Russias actions can prevent the overheating of the credit market, but they can also lead to undesirable effects: further expansion of the government ownership in Russian banking sector and substitution of domestic credit supply by cross-border corporate borrowings. The later weakens the competitive positions of Russian banks. We propose a set of measures to harmonize the prudential regulation of banks. Our suggestions rely on design and further implementation of the programs aimed at developing new markets for financial services provided by Russian banks to their corporate and retail customers. The estimated effects of proposed policy measures are both the increase in profitability and capitalization of Russian banks and the decrease of banks demand for government support.

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Russia’s fiscal stimulus and fiscal sustainability

Voprosy Ekonomiki ◽

10.32609/0042-8736-2013-10-90-108 ◽

2013 ◽

pp. 90-108 ◽

Cited By ~ 2

Author(s):

N. Akindinova ◽

N. Kondrashov ◽

A. Cherniavsky

Keyword(s):

Government Spending ◽

Public Expenditure ◽

Oil Prices ◽

Fiscal Sustainability ◽

Macroeconomic Model ◽

Sharp Drop ◽

Fiscal Stimulus ◽

Fiscal Multipliers ◽

Russian Economy ◽

The Impact

This study examines the impact of public expenditure on economic growth in Russia. Fiscal multipliers for various items of government spending are calculated by means of our macroeconomic model of the Russian economy. Resources for fiscal stimulus and optimization are analyzed. In this study we assess Russia’s fiscal sustainability in conditions of various levels of oil prices. We conclude that fiscal stimulus is ineffective in Russia, while fiscal sustainability in conditions of a sharp drop in oil prices is relatively low.

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“Land fever” and “Bankruptcy”: Social Problems in Hanoi’s Urbanizing Peri-urban Communities

Tập chí Khoa học Xã hội và Nhân văn ◽

10.33100/jossh5.5.nguyenthithanhbinh ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 5 (5) ◽

pp. 550-562

Keyword(s):

Rural Communities ◽

Urban Communities ◽

Agricultural Production ◽

Social Problems ◽

Social Issues ◽

Field Research ◽

Credit Market ◽

Urbanization Process ◽

Impact Of Urbanization ◽

The Impact

Drawn upon field research in two peri-urban villages of Hanoi in 2014 and short re-visits recently, the research examines the widespread of gambling and other social issues in Hanoi’s urbanizing peri-urban communities which happened concurrently with the phenomenon of “land fever,” and at the time local villagers received compensation from land appropriation. The article aims to understand the impact of urbanization on these communities and the interface between urbanization and the increase of social problems. It argues that gambling, drug use, and other social problems have been existing in Vietnamese rural communities long before; however, when urbanization came, some people have higher chances to engage in these activities. Those are villagers who want to transform quickly into entrepreneurs or bosses by joining the “black credit” market and gambling. Together with middle-aged and old farmers who greatly relied on agricultural production and face difficulties in transforming their occupation, they formed the group of losers in the urbanization process. Received 6th January 2019; Revised 26th April 2019; Accepted 15th May 2019

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Credit Market Depth and Income Inequality in Vietnam: A Panel-Data Analysis

Journal of Economics and Development ◽

10.33301/2016.18.02.01 ◽

2016 ◽

pp. 5-18

Author(s):

Hoi Le Quoc ◽

Hoi Chu Minh

Keyword(s):

Data Analysis ◽

Panel Data ◽

Income Inequality ◽

Financial Development ◽

Inflection Point ◽

Panel Data Analysis ◽

Credit Market ◽

Method Of Moment ◽

Market Depth ◽

Generalized Method Of Moment

Financial development could exert various effects on income distribution of a country. By employing Generalized Method of Moment, this paper aims at examining the impacts of credit market depth, one of most used financial development barometers, on income inequality in Vietnam. The empirical findings show that expanding credit market in the country could lead to higher income inequality. We have not found evidence that supports the hypothesis of an inverted U-shaped relation ever introduced by Greenwood and Jovanovich, although this hypothesis may still hold in a sense that Vietnam has not reached to the inflection point to generate such a curve alike.

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The Determinants of Merger Withdrawals’ Abnormal Returns in The Australian Market

Journal of Economics and Development ◽

10.33301/2015.17.03.05 ◽

2015 ◽

pp. 89-110 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Thuy Nguyen Thu ◽

Giang Dao Thi Thu ◽

Hoang Truong Huy

Keyword(s):

Financial Crisis ◽

Event Study ◽

Abnormal Returns ◽

Market Response ◽

Crisis Period ◽

Valuation Effects ◽

Event Study Method ◽

Private And Public ◽

Method Of Payment ◽

The Impact

This paper examines the abnormal returns in merger withdrawals in Australia, especially distinguishing the market response between private and public targets. We also study the determinants of those abnormal returns, including the method of payment and the impact of financial crisis periods. Using the event study method, we document that in the Australian context, the announced withdrawal of mergers involving private targets creates significantly negative valuation effects in comparison with the valuation effects in withdrawal of mergers involving public targets. We also find that a financial crisis period strongly affects abnormal returns of merger withdrawals. However, the method of payment does not have any impact on the abnormal returns.

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