Growth Strategies to Avoid the Middle-Income Trap

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Homi Kharas ◽  
Indermit S. Gill
Keyword(s):  
Growth Strategies ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Middle Income Trap

Growth Strategies to Avoid the Middle-Income Trap

2020 ◽  
pp. 24-47
Author(s):  
Homi Kharas ◽  
Indermit Gill
Keyword(s):  
Low Income ◽  
Technical Change ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Low Income Countries ◽  
Growth Strategies ◽  
Functional Theory ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Advanced Economies ◽  
The Subject ◽  
Middle Income Trap

Since the authors of this chapter coined the term in 2006, “the middle-income trap” has been the subject of scores of investigations. The evidence in support of its existence has been mixed, but their original proposition was that of the possibility of a trap, not its inevitability. In this chapter, they emphasize the absence of a functional theory of economic growth in middle-income economies. Solow–Swan models did well to explain growth in low-income countries, and Lucas–Romer models emphasizing endogenous technical change identified the main drivers of growth in advanced economies. Neither class of models has, however, satisfactorily explained successful transitions from one type of growth to the other. The authors suggest that Schumpeterian models proposed by Aghion, Howitt, and others that stress creative destruction and institutional change provide the analytical foundations for a better understanding of growth in middle-income economies. They present evidence that is consistent with the predictions of this approach, and discuss its policy implications.

Developing an economy based on knowledge and innovation in the context of the middle income trap

2015 ◽  
Vol 60 (10) ◽  
pp. 56-74
Author(s):  
Paweł Wieczorek
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
New Technologies ◽  
Current Model ◽  
Growth Theory ◽  
Labor Costs ◽  
Average Income ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Endogenous Growth Theory ◽  
Middle Income Trap

The article is a contribution to the discussion on the necessity to change the current model of economic growth of Poland for model of economy based on knowledge and innovation. In this way, our country will be able to overcome the threats that might push the economy into the trap of the average income, expressed in long-term slowdown in GDP growth. The endogenous growth theory, formed after 1989 and characterized by duplication of Western technology, enabled relatively rapid growth by over 20 years. Currently, Poland to ensure an economic growth is facing the need for innovative technologies and innovation. Risks associated with middle income trap are very real because of the disappearance of comparative advantage, which results from relatively low labor costs. The creation in Poland conditions to accelerate economic growth requires action to increase the propensity of entrepreneurs to reach for new technologies and innovation and attractive market offer from the national centers for research and development.

scholarly journals ASSESSMENT OF THE POSSIBILITY OF A MIDDLE-INCOME TRAP IN TURKEY

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 331-348
Author(s):  
Ali Cem ÖZTÜRK ◽  
Burcu YAVUZ TİFTİKÇİGİL
Keyword(s):  
World Bank ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Income Group ◽  
Current Data ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
The World Bank ◽  
The World ◽  
Middle Income Group ◽  
Middle Income Trap ◽  
Atlas Method

Turkey has been under the middle-income country category according to the income category classification of the World Bank. Turkey promoted to high-middle-income group in 2005 after spending more than 50 years in lower-middle-income group. The purpose of this study is to identify the presence of middle-income trap in Turkey. The study brings together the most recent theoretical studies from different perspectives with respect to the presence of MIT in Turkey along with Robertson and Ye approach in the empirical phase. Within the context of this study, structural break unit root test using current data obtained through the Atlas method is applied in order to evaluate Turkey’s middle-income trap status. The GNI per capita Atlas Method (current US $) data of the World Bank for the years 1967-2016 are used in the study. The empirical analysis briefly showed that Turkey is not in the MIT.

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