A Nomogram to Predict the Incident Diabetes in Healthy Population: A Retrospective Population-Based Cohort Study

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hai Wang ◽  
Zhenghai Bai ◽  
Junhua Lv ◽  
Jiangli Sun ◽  
Yu Shi ◽  
...  
2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hai Wang ◽  
Zheng-hai Bai ◽  
Jun-hua Lv ◽  
Jiang-li Sun ◽  
Yu Shi ◽  
...  

Diabetologia ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ziyi Zhou ◽  
John Macpherson ◽  
Stuart R. Gray ◽  
Jason M. R. Gill ◽  
Paul Welsh ◽  
...  

Abstract Aims/hypothesis People with obesity and a normal metabolic profile are sometimes referred to as having ‘metabolically healthy obesity’ (MHO). However, whether this group of individuals are actually ‘healthy’ is uncertain. This study aims to examine the associations of MHO with a wide range of obesity-related outcomes. Methods This is a population-based prospective cohort study of 381,363 UK Biobank participants with a median follow-up of 11.2 years. MHO was defined as having a BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2 and at least four of the six metabolically healthy criteria. Outcomes included incident diabetes and incident and fatal atherosclerotic CVD (ASCVD), heart failure (HF) and respiratory diseases. Results Compared with people who were not obese at baseline, those with MHO had higher incident HF (HR 1.60; 95% CI 1.45, 1.75) and respiratory disease (HR 1.20; 95% CI 1.16, 1.25) rates, but not higher ASCVD. The associations of MHO were generally weaker for fatal outcomes and only significant for all-cause (HR 1.12; 95% CI 1.04, 1.21) and HF mortality rates (HR 1.44; 95% CI 1.09, 1.89). However, when compared with people who were metabolically healthy without obesity, participants with MHO had higher rates of incident diabetes (HR 4.32; 95% CI 3.83, 4.89), ASCVD (HR 1.18; 95% CI 1.10, 1.27), HF (HR 1.76; 95% CI 1.61, 1.92), respiratory diseases (HR 1.28; 95% CI 1.24, 1.33) and all-cause mortality (HR 1.22; 95% CI 1.14, 1.31). The results with a 5 year landmark analysis were similar. Conclusions/interpretation Weight management should be recommended to all people with obesity, irrespective of their metabolic status, to lower risk of diabetes, ASCVD, HF and respiratory diseases. The term ‘MHO’ should be avoided as it is misleading and different strategies for risk stratification should be explored. Graphical abstract


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lauren Paul ◽  
Rick Burnett ◽  
Jeffrey C. Kwong ◽  
Perry Hystad ◽  
Aaron van Donkelaar ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jenny Riley ◽  
Christina Antza ◽  
Punith Kempegowda ◽  
Anuradhaa Subramanian ◽  
Joht Singh Chandan ◽  
...  

<b>Objective: </b>To investigate the relationship between social deprivation and incident diabetes-related foot disease (DFD), in newly-diagnosed patients with type 2 diabetes. <p><b>Research design and methods:</b> A population-based, open retrospective cohort study, using The Health Improvement Network (01/01/2005-31/12/2019). Patients with type 2 diabetes, free of DFD at baseline, were stratified by Townsend deprivation index and the risk of developing DFD was calculated. DFD was defined as a composite of foot ulcer (FU), Charcot arthropathy, lower limb amputation (LLA), peripheral neuropathy (PN), peripheral vascular disease (PVD) and gangrene.</p> <p><b>Results:</b> 176,359 patients were eligible (56% men; aged 62.9±13.1years). After excluding 26,094 patients with DFD before/within 15 months of type 2 diabetes diagnosis, DFD was incidentally developed in 12.1% of study population during 3.27years (IQR:1.41-5.96). Patients in the most deprived Townsend quintile had increased risk of DFD compared to those in the least deprived (aHR:1.22, 95%CI:1.16-1.29) after adjusting for sex, age at type 2 diabetes diagnosis, ethnicity, smoking, BMI, HbA1c, cardiovascular disease, hypertension, retinopathy, eGFR, insulin, glucose/lipid-lowering medications and baseline foot risk. Patients in the most deprived Townsend quintile had higher risk of PN (aHR:1.18, 95%CI:1.11-1.25), FU (aHR:1.44, 95%CI:1.17-1.77), PVD (aHR:1.40, 95%CI:1.28-1.53) LLA (aHR:1.75, 95%CI:1.08-2.83) and gangrene (aHR:8.49, 95% CI:1.01-71.58) compared to those in the least.</p> <p><b>Conclusion: </b>Social deprivation is an independent risk factor for the development of DFD, PN, FU, PVD, LLA and gangrene in newly-diagnosed patients with type 2 diabetes. Considering the high individual and economic burden of DFD, strategies targeting patients in socially deprived areas are needed to reduce health inequalities.</p> <p><b> </b></p>


Diabetologia ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 61 (11) ◽  
pp. 2290-2299 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tetyana Kendzerska ◽  
Lauren K. King ◽  
Lorraine Lipscombe ◽  
Ruth Croxford ◽  
Ian Stanaitis ◽  
...  

2017 ◽  
Vol 61 (2) ◽  
pp. 118-122 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kazuteru Mitsuhashi ◽  
Yoshitaka Hashimoto ◽  
Muhei Tanaka ◽  
Hitoshi Toda ◽  
Shinobu Matsumoto ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jenny Riley ◽  
Christina Antza ◽  
Punith Kempegowda ◽  
Anuradhaa Subramanian ◽  
Joht Singh Chandan ◽  
...  

<b>Objective: </b>To investigate the relationship between social deprivation and incident diabetes-related foot disease (DFD), in newly-diagnosed patients with type 2 diabetes. <p><b>Research design and methods:</b> A population-based, open retrospective cohort study, using The Health Improvement Network (01/01/2005-31/12/2019). Patients with type 2 diabetes, free of DFD at baseline, were stratified by Townsend deprivation index and the risk of developing DFD was calculated. DFD was defined as a composite of foot ulcer (FU), Charcot arthropathy, lower limb amputation (LLA), peripheral neuropathy (PN), peripheral vascular disease (PVD) and gangrene.</p> <p><b>Results:</b> 176,359 patients were eligible (56% men; aged 62.9±13.1years). After excluding 26,094 patients with DFD before/within 15 months of type 2 diabetes diagnosis, DFD was incidentally developed in 12.1% of study population during 3.27years (IQR:1.41-5.96). Patients in the most deprived Townsend quintile had increased risk of DFD compared to those in the least deprived (aHR:1.22, 95%CI:1.16-1.29) after adjusting for sex, age at type 2 diabetes diagnosis, ethnicity, smoking, BMI, HbA1c, cardiovascular disease, hypertension, retinopathy, eGFR, insulin, glucose/lipid-lowering medications and baseline foot risk. Patients in the most deprived Townsend quintile had higher risk of PN (aHR:1.18, 95%CI:1.11-1.25), FU (aHR:1.44, 95%CI:1.17-1.77), PVD (aHR:1.40, 95%CI:1.28-1.53) LLA (aHR:1.75, 95%CI:1.08-2.83) and gangrene (aHR:8.49, 95% CI:1.01-71.58) compared to those in the least.</p> <p><b>Conclusion: </b>Social deprivation is an independent risk factor for the development of DFD, PN, FU, PVD, LLA and gangrene in newly-diagnosed patients with type 2 diabetes. Considering the high individual and economic burden of DFD, strategies targeting patients in socially deprived areas are needed to reduce health inequalities.</p> <p><b> </b></p>


Diabetes Care ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 44 (3) ◽  
pp. 731-739
Author(s):  
Jenny Riley ◽  
Christina Antza ◽  
Punith Kempegowda ◽  
Anuradhaa Subramanian ◽  
Joht Singh Chandan ◽  
...  

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