Are Labor Market Indicators Telling the Truth? Role of Measurement Error in the U.S. Current Population Survey

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ippei Shibata
Keyword(s):  
Labor Market ◽  
Measurement Error ◽  
Current Population Survey ◽  
Population Survey ◽  
Current Population ◽  
The U.S

scholarly journals The Ins and Outs of Cyclical Unemployment

2009 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 84-110 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael W. L Elsby ◽  
Ryan Michaels ◽  
Gary Solon
Keyword(s):  
Labor Market ◽  
Survey Data ◽  
Current Population Survey ◽  
Population Survey ◽  
Empirical Literature ◽  
Complete Understanding ◽  
Current Population Survey Data ◽  
Current Population ◽  
Unemployment Spells

A dominant trend in recent modeling of labor market fluctuations is to treat unemployment inflows as acyclical. This trend has been encouraged by recent influential papers that stress the role of longer unemployment spells, rather than more unemployment spells, in accounting for recessionary unemployment. After reviewing an empirical literature going back several decades, we apply a convenient log change decomposition to Current Population Survey data to characterize rising unemployment in each postwar recession. We conclude that a complete understanding of cyclical unemployment requires an explanation of countercyclical inflow rates, especially for job losers (layoffs), as well as procyclical outflow rates. (JEL E24, E32)

The Labor Market Skills of Recent Male Immigrants: Evidence from the Current Population Survey

ILR Review ◽  
1995 ◽  
Vol 48 (4) ◽  
pp. 792-811 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edward Funkhouser ◽  
Stephen J. Trejo
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Labor Market ◽  
Current Population Survey ◽  
Population Survey ◽  
Census Data ◽  
The United States ◽  
Skill Levels ◽  
Recent Immigrants ◽  
Current Population ◽  
Using Data

Using data from special supplements to the Current Population Survey (CPS), the authors track the education and hourly earnings of recent male immigrants to the United States. In terms of these measures of labor market skills, the CPS data suggest that immigrants who came in the late 1980s were more skilled than those who arrived earlier in the decade. This pattern represents a break from the steady decline in immigrant skill levels observed in 1940–80 Census data. Despite the encouraging trend over the 1980s, however, the average skills of recent immigrants remain low by historical standards.

Demographics of Turnout

2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan E. Leighley ◽  
Jonathan Nagler
Keyword(s):  
Marital Status ◽  
Voter Turnout ◽  
Current Population Survey ◽  
Presidential Elections ◽  
Population Survey ◽  
Highly Educated ◽  
Demographic Group ◽  
Current Population ◽  
Race Ethnicity ◽  
The U.S

This chapter uses data from the U.S. Census Bureau's Current Population Survey to provide an extensive description and discussion of aggregate and demographic group-specific turnout rates since 1972, focusing on education, income, race, ethnicity, age, gender, and marital status. Among the findings is that voter turnout in presidential elections since 1972 has not declined systematically. Instead, it has been slightly higher in some elections, and slightly lower in other elections. Second, the relationships among income, education, and voter turnout are quite strong: the probability of a highly educated or wealthy individual casting a ballot is much, much higher than the probability of a less-educated or poorer individual casting a ballot. Third, these differences in turnout have been remarkably stable over this thirty-six-year period. Fourth, there is less stability in turnout patterns by age, gender, and ethnicity since 1972 compared to those of education and income.

scholarly journals Is Job Stability Declining in the U.S. Economy?

ILR Review ◽  
1995 ◽  
Vol 48 (2) ◽  
pp. 293-304 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kenneth A. Swinnerton ◽  
Howard Wial
Keyword(s):  
Survey Data ◽  
Current Population Survey ◽  
Population Survey ◽  
Retention Rates ◽  
Job Stability ◽  
Current Population Survey Data ◽  
Current Population ◽  
Secular Decline ◽  
The U.S

Using Current Population Survey data, the authors examine changes in job stability during the 1980s. For consecutive four-year periods during 1979–91, they present estimates of four-year retention rates for workers with varying levels of employer-specific seniority. Retention rates of low-seniority workers rose between 1979–83 and 1983–87 but fell between 1983–87 and 1987–91. Retention rates for 1987–91 were typically lower than those for 1979–83, suggesting a secular decline in job stability during the 1980s.

scholarly journals Do Foreign-Born Workers Cause Native-Born Workers to Move or Leave the Labor Force?

2017 ◽  
pp. 1-4
Author(s):  
Roberto B. Pinheiro ◽  
Alan Dizioli
Keyword(s):  
Labor Market ◽  
Labor Force ◽  
Current Population Survey ◽  
Population Survey ◽  
Dropping Out ◽  
Foreign Born ◽  
Local Labor Market ◽  
Current Population ◽  
Short Run

This Commentary discusses how the presence of foreign-born workers in a local labor market affects the decisions of native-born workers to leave the labor force or move to another state. We analyze short panels obtained through the Current Population Survey and find that, in the short run, less-educated native-born workers react to a larger stock of foreign-born workers by either moving to a different state or dropping out of the labor force. In terms of magnitude, the effect is small but not insignificant.

Levels of Responsibility in Jobs and the Distribution of Earnings among U.S. Engineers, 1961–1986

ILR Review ◽  
1995 ◽  
Vol 49 (1) ◽  
pp. 150-169
Author(s):  
Christopher Ferrall
Keyword(s):  
Labor Market ◽  
Current Population Survey ◽  
Population Survey ◽  
Wage Dispersion ◽  
Current Population ◽  
Using Data

This study, using data from the Professional, Administrative, Technical, and Clerical Pay Survey and the Current Population Survey, examines how the assignment of responsibility within firms affected the structure of wages of U.S. engineers between 1961 and 1986. Patterns of wage dispersion in this sample mirrored patterns found in broader segments of the labor market during the same period. In engineering, wage dispersion within levels of responsibility fell steadily between 1976 and 1986, while wage dispersion between levels rose. At the same time, engineering jobs began to migrate to lower levels within firms. The author explains the trends in wages and job assignments as responses to changes in the supply of and demand for engineers, within the framework of hierarchy models of responsibility.

scholarly journals Data Watch: The Redesigned Current Population Survey

1996 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 169-180 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anne E Polivka
Keyword(s):  
Labor Market ◽  
National Survey ◽  
Current Population Survey ◽  
Population Survey ◽  
Current Population ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Source Of Information ◽  
American Labor

The Current Population Survey (CPS), a national survey of 50,000 households, is a major source of information about the American labor market. In January 1994, the CPS underwent a major redesign both in the wording of the questionnaire and the methodology used to collect the data. This article reviews the motivation for the redesign, compares several key CPS estimates before and after the implementation of the new survey, and explains some of the new data collected in the redesigned CPS.

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