The Effects of Tax Changes on Economic Activity: A Narrative Approach to Frequent Anticipations

Author(s):  
Sandra García-Uribe
2018 ◽  
Vol 108 ◽  
pp. 513-518 ◽  
Author(s):  
Akihisa Kato ◽  
Wataru Miyamoto ◽  
Thuy Lan Nguyen ◽  
Dmitriy Sergeyev

We use the narrative approach to identify tax changes unrelated to current economic conditions and estimate the effects of these changes on macroeconomic variables during and outside of the zero lower bound period in Japan. We find little difference in the output responses across the two periods. However, the responses of aggregate consumption, investment, and imports are significantly different in the two periods within the first few quarters.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samara Gunter ◽  
Daniel Riera-Crichton ◽  
Carlos A. Végh ◽  
Guillermo Vuletin

2010 ◽  
Vol 100 (3) ◽  
pp. 763-801 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christina D Romer ◽  
David H Romer

This paper investigates the impact of tax changes on economic activity. We use the narrative record, such as presidential speeches and Congressional reports, to identify the size, timing, and principal motivation for all major postwar tax policy actions. This analysis allows us to separate legislated changes into those taken for reasons related to prospective economic conditions and those taken for more exogenous reasons. The behavior of output following these more exogenous changes indicates that tax increases are highly contractionary. The effects are strongly significant, highly robust, and much larger than those obtained using broader measures of tax changes. (JEL E32, E62, H20, N12)


2013 ◽  
Vol 103 (3) ◽  
pp. 61-65 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael D Bordo ◽  
Hugh Rockoff

Milton Friedman and Anna J. Schwartz published A Monetary History of the United States: 1867 to 1960 with Princeton University Press in 1963, to critical acclaim. Since then the book's reputation has grown and it clearly has become one of the most influential volumes in economics in the twentieth century. In this paper we document the extraordinary impact of A Monetary History and argue that the key to this success was the use of the "narrative approach" to the problem of identifying the effects of monetary policy on economic activity.


2008 ◽  
Vol 41 (10) ◽  
pp. 44
Author(s):  
MARY ELLEN SCHNEIDER
Keyword(s):  

Author(s):  
G. C. Harcourt ◽  
P. H. Karmel ◽  
R. H. Wallace
Keyword(s):  

Crisis ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 36 (6) ◽  
pp. 459-463
Author(s):  
Kate Monaghan ◽  
Martin Harris

Abstract. Background: Suicide is a pervasive and complex issue that can challenge counselors through the course of their careers. Research and practice focus heavily on crisis management and imminent risk rather than early intervention strategies. Early intervention strategies can assist counselors working with clients who have suicidal ideation, but are not at imminent risk, or with clients whose risk factors identify them as having a stronger trajectory for suicidal ideation. Aims: This systematic literature review examines the current literature on working with clients with suicidal ideation who are not at imminent risk, to ascertain the types of information and strategies available to counselors working with this client group. Method: An initial 622 articles were identified for analysis and from these 24 were included in the final review, which was synthesized using a narrative approach. Results: Results indicate that research into early intervention strategies is extremely limited. Conclusion: It was possible to describe emergent themes and practice guidelines to assist counselors working with clients with suicidal ideation but not at imminent risk.


2008 ◽  
Vol 36 (6) ◽  
pp. 58
Author(s):  
MARY ELLEN SCHNEIDER
Keyword(s):  

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