Fundamental Price Drivers on Continental European Day-Ahead Power Markets

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Geissmann ◽  
Adrian Obrist
2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Mehdi Tavakkoli ◽  
Sajjad Fattaheian-Dehkordi ◽  
Mahdi Pourakbari-Kasmaei ◽  
Matti Liski ◽  
Matti Lehtonen

Author(s):  
Roberto Dieci ◽  
Xue-Zhong He

AbstractThis paper presents a stylized model of interaction among boundedly rational heterogeneous agents in a multi-asset financial market to examine how agents’ impatience, extrapolation, and switching behaviors can affect cross-section market stability. Besides extrapolation and performance based switching between fundamental and extrapolative trading documented in single asset market, we show that a high degree of ‘impatience’ of agents who are ready to switch to more profitable trading strategy in the short run provides a further cross-section destabilizing mechanism. Though the ‘fundamental’ steady-state values, which reflect the standard present-value of the dividends, represent an unbiased equilibrium market outcome in the long run (to a certain extent), the price deviation from the fundamental price in one asset can spill-over to other assets, resulting in cross-section instability. Based on a (Neimark–Sacker) bifurcation analysis, we provide explicit conditions on how agents’ impatience, extrapolation, and switching can destabilize the market and result in a variety of short and long-run patterns for the cross-section asset price dynamics.


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