The Economic Origin of Treasury Excess Returns: A Cycles and Trend Explanation

Author(s):  
Riccardo Rebonato ◽  
Taku Hatano
Keyword(s):  
2008 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mustafa Ciftci ◽  
Theodore Sougiannis
Keyword(s):  

2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
David R. Gallagher ◽  
Katja Ignatieva ◽  
James McCulloch

2019 ◽  
Vol 55 (4) ◽  
pp. 1199-1242
Author(s):  
Georg Cejnek ◽  
Otto Randl

This article studies time variation in the expected excess returns of traded claims on dividends, bonds, and stock indices for international markets. We introduce a novel dividend risk factor that complements the bond risk factor of Cochrane and Piazzesi (2005). By aggregating over 4 regions (United States, United Kingdom, Eurozone, and Japan), we create global dividend and bond factors. Our global 2-factor model captures the excess returns of most Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) country indices, as well as a variety of other test assets. Our findings highlight the value of the information contained in dividend and bond forward curves and suggest substantial comovement in international risk premia.


2014 ◽  
Vol 17 (4) ◽  
pp. 399-415 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vangelis Tsioumas ◽  
Stratos Papadimitriou

2021 ◽  
pp. 105586
Author(s):  
Marco Buso ◽  
Michele Moretto ◽  
Dimitrios Zormpas

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