scholarly journals Fiscal Policy Shocks and Private Consumption in Nigeria: Blanchard-Perotti (2002) Approach

2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Isiaq Oseni
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Private Consumption ◽  
Policy Shocks

scholarly journals Fiscal Policy Shocks and Private Consumption in Nigeria: Blanchard-Perotti (2002) Approach

2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (6(J)) ◽  
pp. 42-60
Author(s):  
OSENI Isiaq Olasunkanmi
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Government Spending ◽  
Private Consumption ◽  
Government Expenditure ◽  
Structural Var ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Period ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Government

This paper examines the effects of fiscal policy shocks on private consumption in Nigeria. Albeit, there is a considerable number of works examining the effects of fiscal policy shocks on private consumption globally but in Nigeria, no study has used the structural VAR approach by Blanchard and Perotti (2002) as used in this paper. This approach relies on institutional information about the tax and transfer systems and the timing of tax collection to identify the automatic response of taxes and spending to private consumption as well as to infer fiscal shocks. The key result of this paper is that positive government spending shocks in Nigeria have an instantaneous negative effect on private consumption. The effect becomes significant in the period following the shock. Also, positive tax shocks have a negative effect on private consumption in the period of a shock and the effect becomes statistically insignificant afterwards. On this premises, one-off changes in government spending and taxes in Nigeria are long-lived and short-lived respectively. Thus, the government expenditure changes can be used to support private consumption in the long-run while that of taxes can only be used to support private consumption for a short period.

Panel Data Evidence on the Effects of Fiscal Policy Shocks in the EU New Member States

2014 ◽  
Vol 35 (2) ◽  
pp. 189-224 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paweł Borys ◽  
Piotr Ciżkowicz ◽  
Andrzej Rzońca
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Panel Data ◽  
Member States ◽  
New Member States ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Eu New Member States ◽  
The Eu

scholarly journals Analisis Dampak Kebijakan Fiskal terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia

2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 159-174 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmad Nawawi ◽  
Ferry Irawan
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Dynamic Response ◽  
Disposable Income ◽  
Government Expenditures ◽  
Impulse Responses ◽  
Tax Revenues ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Tax Shocks

This paper presents an analysis of the effect of fiscal policy in Indonesia based on a VAR approach. Fiscal policy shocks are identified as a structural residuals related to unexpected government expenditures and tax revenues. Impulse responses are then used to simulate the dynamic response of key macroeconomics variables of shocks. The analysis shows that GDP responses negatively to tax shocks, and positively to expenditure shock. Moreover, disposable income and private consumptionreact negatively to taxation and positively to government expenditures. Altogether the results are consistent with that of Keynesian models.

The fiscal policy and the dynamic of the economic cycle

2020 ◽  
Vol 47 (2) ◽  
pp. 231-241
Author(s):  
Huthaifa Alqaralleh
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Threshold Value ◽  
Policy Framework ◽  
Economic Cycle ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Unobserved Component ◽  
Cyclical Fluctuations ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
The Business Cycle ◽  
Unobserved Component Model

PurposeThis study seeks to determine in some detail whether the state of the economic cycle matters in considering the effects of fiscal policy shocks on output.Design/methodology/approachThis issue leads us to two primary objectives: to define the economic cycle measuring the gap with the unobserved component model with a smoother trend, which can be used efficiently to generate gap measures for use in real-time decision-making and avoids the criticisms of measures based on contentious structural models; and to look empirically at the fiscal policy stance over the phases of the cycle, bearing in mind the short time variation and smooth change between the cycle regimes.FindingsThis paper provides evidence that the fiscal policy rule seems to operate with varied coefficients depending on whether the transition variable is below or above the estimated threshold value.Originality/valueThe asymmetric response gives policymakers the impetus to reconsider the fiscal policy framework because of specific circumstances, such as shocks that can dramatically affect the nominal features of the business cycle. Put differently, stable and moderate fiscal policies would at least not contribute to cyclical fluctuations, and therefore would be better than what we have typically experienced. There would, therefore, seem to be a distinct need to address the properties of economic cycles under different fiscal policy rules.

scholarly journals Fiscal policy shocks and stock prices in the United States

2020 ◽  
Vol 129 ◽  
pp. 103562 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haroon Mumtaz ◽  
Konstantinos Theodoridis
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
The United States ◽  
Policy Shocks
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