scholarly journals Dealing with Time-Inconsistency: Inflation Targeting vs. Exchange Rate Targeting

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Scott Davis ◽  
Ippei Fujiwara ◽  
Jiao Wang
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Time Inconsistency ◽  
Exchange Rate Targeting

scholarly journals Exchange Rate Targeting Versus Inflation Targeting: Empirical Analysis of the Impact on Employment and Economic Growth

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 67-85
Author(s):  
Borivoje Krušković
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate Targeting ◽  
Stepwise Method ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
The Impact

AbstractThis paper analyses the effects of two alternative monetary strategies (exchange rate targeting and inflation targeting) on economic growth and employment. On the panel of 18 countries for the period from 1996 to 2013, I tested the hypothesis that countries in exchange rate targeting have a higher rate of GDP growth and lower inflation rate. In order to test the impact of exchange rate policy on economic growth and prices, I applied dynamic panel two stepwise method of least squares (2SLS method) and they were evaluated by two independent regression equation. In order to allow the comparison of results related to exchange rate targeting, the effects of the introduction of inflation targeting in the unemployment rate were also estimated using the panel method two stepwise least squares (2SLS method). Results of empirical studies show that countries with inflation targeting have a lower rate of economic growth and higher unemployment.

Does Monetary Policy Regime Affect Inflation?

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 (5) ◽  
pp. 39-51
Author(s):  
Filipp Kartaev
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Emerging Countries ◽  
Public Confidence ◽  
Inflation Expectations ◽  
Exchange Rate Targeting ◽  
Nominal Anchor

The article treats long-term impact of monetary policy nominal anchor choice (inflation targeting, exchange rate targeting, money supply targeting) on inflation level in developed and emerging countries. The research was built on panel data for 188 countries, which includes period after the global financial crisis. The results show, that inflation or exchange rate targeting allows to reduce inflation rate in emerging countries, while in developed countries the use of monetary policy nominal anchor does not give additional benefits in inflation control. This difference can be explained by the fact, that nominal anchor implementation in emerging countries enhances public confidence in monetary authority actions to control inflation. Higher confidence decreases inflation expectations and hence inflation. In contrast, central banks of developed countries can stabilize price level without use of nominal anchor due to good reputation.

Fear of Free Floating or Forced Exchange Rate Fixing

2004 ◽  
pp. 112-122
Author(s):  
O. Osipova
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Float Exchange Rate ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate Arrangements ◽  
Pass Through

After the financial crisis at the end of the 1990 s many countries rejected fixed exchange rate policy. However actually they failed to proceed to announced "independent float" exchange rate arrangement. This might be due to the "fear of floating" or an irreversible result of inflation targeting central bank policy. In the article advantages and drawbacks of fixed and floating exchange rate arrangements are systematized. Features of new returning to exchange rates stabilization and possible risks of such policy for Russia are considered. Special attention is paid to the issue of choice of a "target" currency composite which can minimize external inflation pass-through.

Exchange Rate Regimes and Economic Stability

2010 ◽  
pp. 29-43
Author(s):  
S. Smirnov
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Real Sector ◽  
Economic Stability ◽  
Exogenous Shocks ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
Managed Floating

The Bank of Russia intends to introduce inflation targeting policy and exchange rate free floating regime in three years. Exogenous shocks absorption which stabilizes the real sector of economy is usually considered to be one of the advantages of free floating exchange rate policy. However, our research based on the analysis of 25 world largest economies exchange rates and industrial production during the crisis of 2008-2009 does not confirm this hypothesis. The article also analyzes additional risks associated with free floating exchange rate regime in Russia and presents some arguments in favor of managed floating exchange rate regime.

On the Exchange Rate Policy

2010 ◽  
pp. 21-28
Author(s):  
K. Yudaeva
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Institutional Changes ◽  
Crisis Period ◽  
Local Currency ◽  
High Inflation ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
The Exchange Rate

The level of trust in the local currency in Russia is very low largely because of relatively high inflation. As a result, Bank of Russia during crisis times can not afford monetary policy loosening and has to fight devaluation expectations. To change the situation in the post-crisis period Russia needs to live through a continuous period of low inflation. Modified inflation targeting can help achieve such a result. However, it should be amended with institutional changes, particularly development of hedging instruments.

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