An Evacuation Decision-Making Model Incorporating Cognitive Dissonance And Its Quantitative Analysis

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tatsuhito Kono ◽  
Masaya Okuno ◽  
Hiroo Ukawa ◽  
Kazuho Yamaura
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tatsuhito Kono ◽  
Masaya Okuno ◽  
Kazuho Yamaura

Abstract This paper constructs an evacuation decision-making model that takes cognitive dissonance into consideration. The purpose of this construction is to clarify the psychological mechanism for the evacuation behavior of residents during an emergency, based on Akerlof and Dickens (1982). Specifically, we empirically explore people’s psychological mechanism (e.g. cognitive dissonance) for evacuation behavior when a tsunami disaster occurs. As a result, we show that the level of anxiety depends on the area where residents live and that the average anxiety of residents is mostly correlated to the level of damage of past disasters, and that it is affected also by the ages of residents. Since the level of anxiety largely affects an individual’s evacuation behavior, this result can indicate for what kinds of people intervention and assistance are required based on the level of anxiety.


2011 ◽  
Vol 94-96 ◽  
pp. 664-667
Author(s):  
Xing Ju Wang ◽  
Xiao Ming Xi ◽  
Gui Feng Gao ◽  
Jin Jie Chen

This study develops a blocked cost model of urban rail transit, which is applied to determine laying mode of urban rail transit. In addition, this model focuses on the laying mode choice of urban rail transit by using quantitative analysis, which is previously discussed by using qualitative analysis. The case of Line No. 1 of Shijiazhuang urban rail transit is given to demonstrate the blocked cost. The results show that the cost of urban rail transit on the ground is 0.372 billion RMB per km and the cost of urban rail transit underground is 1.79 billion RMB per km. The mode on the ground is the best solution due to its low cost. But by analyzing and evaluating generalized cost in which blocked cost has been considered, the mode of urban railway transit underground is the best choice due to 1.79 billion RMB per km compared to 1.91 billion RMB per km on the ground.


2012 ◽  
Vol 518-523 ◽  
pp. 1192-1197
Author(s):  
Li Li Dong ◽  
Fei Fei Yao ◽  
Yi Jiang ◽  
Yong Tao Lv

According to the present situation that the urban ecotope assistant decision-making method is limited to qualitative analysis, this paper intends to explore a way to combine quantitative analysis with qualitative analysis, in order to make objective and accurate decision-making, take the research on assistant decision-making method a step further. The urban ecotope sustainable development indicators system (UESDIS) is structured. There are three-layer, four dimensions and thirteen individual indicators in the UESDIS. And on that basis, the weight of UESDIS is confirmed by AHP-Entropy model, the qualitative analysis is transformed into quantitative analysis. Then combined the impulse process method, the urban ecotope assistant decision-making model is constructed. At the same time, in order to achieve the purpose of assistant decision making, the planning conditions are deeply analyzed and then the development trend of ecosystem factors are got. Also, the application of the model is shown by specific examples.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tatsuhito Kono ◽  
Masaya Okuno ◽  
Kazuho Yamaura

AbstractThis paper constructs an evacuation decision-making model that takes cognitive dissonance into consideration. The purpose of this construction is to clarify the psychological mechanism for the evacuation behavior of residents during an emergency, based on Akerlof and Dickens (Akerlof and Dickens Am Econ Rev 72:307–319, 1982) "The economic consequences of cognitive dissonance". Specifically, we empirically explore people’s psychological mechanism (e.g., cognitive dissonance) for evacuation behavior when a tsunami disaster occurs. As a result, we show that the level of anxiety depends on the area where residents live and that the average anxiety of residents is mostly correlated with the level of damage of past disasters, and that it is affected also by the ages of residents. Since the level of anxiety largely affects an individual’s evacuation behavior, this result can indicate for what kinds of people intervention and assistance are required based on the level of anxiety. A high level of anxiety basically promotes evacuation. Since our results show that anxiety is increased by the experience of tsunamis, education having people virtually experience tsunamis may increase evacuation rates efficiently.


2019 ◽  
pp. 125-133
Author(s):  
Duong Truong Thi Thuy ◽  
Anh Pham Thi Hoang

Banking has always played an important role in the economy because of its effects on individuals as well as on the economy. In the process of renovation and modernization of the country, the system of commercial banks has changed dramatically. Business models and services have become more diversified. Therefore, the performance of commercial banks is always attracting the attention of managers, supervisors, banks and customers. Bank ranking can be viewed as a multi-criteria decision model. This article uses the technique for order of preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) method to rank some commercial banks in Vietnam.


Informatica ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 305-320 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edmundas Kazimieras Zavadskas ◽  
Arturas Kaklauskas ◽  
Zenonas Turskis ◽  
Jolanta Tamošaitienė

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