scholarly journals Climate Policies Under Climate Model Uncertainty: Max-Min and Min-Max Regret

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Armon Rezai ◽  
Frederick van der Ploeg
Keyword(s):  
Model Uncertainty ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Climate Policies ◽  
Climate Model Uncertainty

scholarly journals “Agro-meteorological indices and climate model uncertainty over the UK”

2014 ◽  
Vol 128 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 113-126 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. E. Harding ◽  
M. Rivington ◽  
M. J. Mineter ◽  
S. F. B. Tett
Keyword(s):  
Model Uncertainty ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
The Uk ◽  
Climate Model Uncertainty

scholarly journals Assessing the influence of climate model uncertainty on EU-wide climate change impact indicators

2013 ◽  
Vol 120 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 211-227 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tobias Lung ◽  
Alessandro Dosio ◽  
William Becker ◽  
Carlo Lavalle ◽  
Laurens M. Bouwer
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Model Uncertainty ◽  
Climate Change Impact ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Impact Indicators ◽  
Change Impact ◽  
Climate Model Uncertainty

Assessment of climate-change impacts on alpine discharge regimes with climate model uncertainty

2006 ◽  
Vol 20 (10) ◽  
pp. 2091-2109 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pascal Horton ◽  
Bettina Schaefli ◽  
Abdelkader Mezghani ◽  
Benoît Hingray ◽  
André Musy
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Model Uncertainty ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
Climate Model Uncertainty

A transient stochastic weather generator incorporating climate model uncertainty

2015 ◽  
Vol 85 ◽  
pp. 14-26 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vassilis Glenis ◽  
Valentina Pinamonti ◽  
Jim W Hall ◽  
Chris G Kilsby
Keyword(s):  
Model Uncertainty ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Weather Generator ◽  
Stochastic Weather Generator ◽  
Climate Model Uncertainty

scholarly journals Climate model uncertainty vs. conceptual geological uncertainty in hydrological modeling

2015 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 4353-4385 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. O. Sonnenborg ◽  
D. Seifert ◽  
J. C. Refsgaard
Keyword(s):  
Travel Time ◽  
Model Uncertainty ◽  
Stream Flow ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Hydrological Modeling ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Geological Model ◽  
Model Combination ◽  
Capture Zones ◽  
Climate Model Uncertainty

Abstract. Projections of climate change impact are associated with a cascade of uncertainties including CO2 emission scenario, climate model, downscaling and impact model. The relative importance of the individual uncertainty sources is expected to depend on several factors including the quantity that is projected. In the present study the impacts of climate model uncertainty and geological model uncertainty on hydraulic head, stream flow, travel time and capture zones are evaluated. Six versions of a physically based and distributed hydrological model, each containing a unique interpretation of the geological structure of the model area, are forced by 11 climate model projections. Each projection of future climate is a result of a GCM-RCM model combination (from the ENSEMBLES project) forced by the same CO2 scenario (A1B). The changes from the reference period (1991–2010) to the future period (2081–2100) in projected hydrological variables are evaluated and the effects of geological model and climate model uncertainties are quantified. The results show that uncertainty propagation is context dependent. While the geological conceptualization is the dominating uncertainty source for projection of travel time and capture zones, the uncertainty on the climate models is more important for groundwater hydraulic heads and stream flow.

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