scholarly journals Climate Policies Under Climate Model Uncertainty: Max-Min and Min-Max Regret

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Armon Rezai ◽  
Frederick van der Ploeg
2014 ◽  
Vol 128 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 113-126 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. E. Harding ◽  
M. Rivington ◽  
M. J. Mineter ◽  
S. F. B. Tett

2013 ◽  
Vol 120 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 211-227 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tobias Lung ◽  
Alessandro Dosio ◽  
William Becker ◽  
Carlo Lavalle ◽  
Laurens M. Bouwer

2006 ◽  
Vol 20 (10) ◽  
pp. 2091-2109 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pascal Horton ◽  
Bettina Schaefli ◽  
Abdelkader Mezghani ◽  
Benoît Hingray ◽  
André Musy

2015 ◽  
Vol 85 ◽  
pp. 14-26 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vassilis Glenis ◽  
Valentina Pinamonti ◽  
Jim W Hall ◽  
Chris G Kilsby

2015 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 4353-4385 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. O. Sonnenborg ◽  
D. Seifert ◽  
J. C. Refsgaard

Abstract. Projections of climate change impact are associated with a cascade of uncertainties including CO2 emission scenario, climate model, downscaling and impact model. The relative importance of the individual uncertainty sources is expected to depend on several factors including the quantity that is projected. In the present study the impacts of climate model uncertainty and geological model uncertainty on hydraulic head, stream flow, travel time and capture zones are evaluated. Six versions of a physically based and distributed hydrological model, each containing a unique interpretation of the geological structure of the model area, are forced by 11 climate model projections. Each projection of future climate is a result of a GCM-RCM model combination (from the ENSEMBLES project) forced by the same CO2 scenario (A1B). The changes from the reference period (1991–2010) to the future period (2081–2100) in projected hydrological variables are evaluated and the effects of geological model and climate model uncertainties are quantified. The results show that uncertainty propagation is context dependent. While the geological conceptualization is the dominating uncertainty source for projection of travel time and capture zones, the uncertainty on the climate models is more important for groundwater hydraulic heads and stream flow.


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