scholarly journals Trade Shocks and Far-Right Voting: Evidence from French Presidential Elections

Author(s):  
Cllment Malgouyres
2004 ◽  
Vol 37 (2) ◽  
pp. 419-429 ◽  
Author(s):  
Philippe Bonnetain

The electoral surge of the National Front (NF) in the 2002 French presidential election was unprecedented. It marked the first time that a far–right candidate reached the second round of voting in a presidential election: Jean–Marie Le Pen, leader of the NF party, passed the first round on April 21, 2002, beating 16 other candidates with 16.86 per cent of the vote against 19.88 per cent for the incumbent President Jacques Chirac (Rassemblement pour la République RPR) and 16.18 per cent for the incumbent Prime Minister Lionel Jospin (Parti Socialiste PS).


Subject Changes to the political landscape. Significance This year’s general election has transformed the political landscape that prevailed for over two decades in Brazil. The centre-right Social Democrats (PSDB) were pushed away from the mainstream by a surging far-right led by President-elect Jair Bolsonaro. After winning four straight presidential elections, the Workers’ Party (PT) was defeated in the runoff. It retains some leverage, but now faces increasingly serious challenges to its hegemony on the centre-left. Impacts Ineffective management of relations with Congress could undermine Bolsonaro’s ability to pass key legislation. Protest movements not aligned to established parties could proliferate in the coming years. Bolsonaro’s Social Liberal Party (PSL) will fail to establish itself as a leading party in the longer term.


2008 ◽  
Vol 19 (03) ◽  
pp. 409-440 ◽  
Author(s):  
SERGE GALAM

We review a series of models of sociophysics introduced by Galam and Galam et al. in the last 25 years. The models are divided into five different classes, which deal respectively with democratic voting in bottom-up hierarchical systems, decision making, fragmentation versus coalitions, terrorism and opinion dynamics. For each class the connexion to the original physical model and techniques are outlined underlining both the similarities and the differences. Emphasis is put on the numerous novel and counterintuitive results obtained with respect to the associated social and political framework. Using these models several major real political events were successfully predicted including the victory of the French extreme right party in the 2000 first round of French presidential elections, the voting at fifty–fifty in several democratic countries (Germany, Italy, Mexico), and the victory of the "no" to the 2005 French referendum on the European constitution. The perspectives and the challenges to make sociophysics a predictive solid field of science are discussed.


Author(s):  
Flavien Bouillot ◽  
Pascal Poncelet ◽  
Mathieu Roche ◽  
Dino Ienco ◽  
Elnaz Bigdeli ◽  
...  

PhaenEx ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
JEAN-PIERRE BOULÉ

This article begins by analysing the impact of May ’68 on Sartre. The article then attempts to show similarities and then differences between Sartre wanting to be a "new intellectual" and Sarkozy a "new type of politician," based on Sarkozy’s (in)famous speech given in Bercy in April 2007 prior to the second round of voting in the French Presidential elections when he launched into a most virulent attack on the spirit of May ’68. Finally, I argue that Sarkozy wants to go back to the time of colonialism in the 1950s and 1960s, reclaiming in the process de Gaulle’s heritage.


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 202-218
Author(s):  
A. V. Belinskiy

One of the paradoxes of our full of controversies and drastic changes era was the union formed by national populists and a certain group of workers who just a few decades ago had been stalwart proponents of left-wing parties. Workers were the ones who secured Donald Trump’s victory in the 2016 presidential elections and also were responsible for the rise of such populist parties as the National Rally (formerly, the National Front) and the Freedom Party of Austria in Europe. This paper is an attempt to analyze the reasons behind this alliance, the nature of relationships between workers and far-right populists and the prospects of cooperation in the future. In particular, there is an indication that the negative effects of globalization (delocation of production, increasing social inequality, and etc.), an actual switch by social democratic and center-left parties to neoliberalist views and an active utilization of social rhetoric by the “new right” politics have caused a certain part of workers to join their ranks. However, having secured the power, these national populist parties and politics mostly carried out reforms that favored the interests of business rather than those of ordinary voters. At the same time, a conclusion is drawn that the alliance between far-right populist parties and workers will continue in the near future. Both the crisis amidst “old” leftwing parties and social and economic problems will contribute to this eff ct.


Author(s):  
Michel Balinski ◽  
Rida Laraki

This chapter focuses on the importance of a simplified common language with clear cultural meanings for grading political candidates. Voters using majority judgment are better at expressing their opinion about a candidate compared with giving rank-orders. The 2007 Orsay experiment in the context of the majority judgment ballot that took place during the French presidential elections in 2007 is also discussed, with a focus on the use of language in which the hypothetical voting process was explained to voters. Analysis on the grades allotted during the experiment is presented along with homogeneity of voters’ grades to consider the use of language by the voting population.


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