Is the Variation of a Manager's Disclosure Tone Across Time Associated with Investorss Assessment of Firm Risk?

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
John L. Campbell ◽  
Hye Seung Lee ◽  
Hsin-min Lu ◽  
Logan B. Steele
Keyword(s):  
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Khrystyna Bochkay ◽  
Peter Joos

Risk forecasting is crucial for informed investment decision-making. Moreover, the salience of investment risk increases during economically uncertain times. In this paper, we study how sell-side analysts form expectations of firm risk, under different macroeconomic conditions (low versus high uncertainty) and by distinguishing between quantitative and qualitative information inputs. We find that analysts jointly consider quantitative and qualitative information but that their reliance on qualitative information - in particular, disclosure tone - increases when macroeconomic uncertainty is high. We also find that analysts mostly rely on disclosure tone when it contradicts quantitative information. These findings highlight how narrative disclosures can provide context for quantitative information. Finally, we find that analysts' specific use of quantitative/qualitative information improves their forecasts as predictors of firm risk. Together, our results illuminate analysts' risk forecasting process - what information they use and how.


2013 ◽  
pp. 35-64 ◽  
Author(s):  
Giovanna Michelon

The aim of this paper is to study if and how impression management varies during different phases of the legitimation process, in particular during the legitimacy building and legitimacy repairing phases (Suchman, 1995). We aim at understanding whether and how the disclosure tone adopted by a company in the two different moments is diverse and thus functional to the intrinsic objective of the each phase. The empirical analysis focuses on the case of British Petroleum Plc. We investigated the impression management practices undertaken by the company both during the preparation of the rebranding operation, i.e. a situation in which the company is trying to build legitimacy; and during the happenings of two legitimacy crises, like the explosion of the refinery in Texas City and the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico. The evidence appears in line with the theoretical prediction of legitimacy theory. Results show that while the company tends to privilege image enhancement techniques during the legitimacy-building phase, it uses more obfuscation techniques when managing a legitimacy-repairing process. Moreover, the analysis suggests that the company makes more extensive use of impression management techniques in the disclosures addressed to shareholders, investors and other market operators than in the disclosures addressed to the wide range of other stakeholders.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohamed Ghaly ◽  
Alexandros Kostakis ◽  
Konstantinos Stathopoulos
Keyword(s):  

2007 ◽  
Author(s):  
Les Coleman
Keyword(s):  

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