scholarly journals Carbon Pricing, Forward Risk Premiums and Pass-Through Rates in Australian Electricity Futures Markets

Author(s):  
Pawee Maryniak ◽  
Stefan Trrck ◽  
Rafal Weron
2019 ◽  
Vol 65 (9) ◽  
pp. 4407-4421 ◽  
Author(s):  
Davidson Heath

This paper documents new evidence against perfect risk spanning in crude oil futures, and develops an affine futures pricing model that allows for unspanned macroeconomic factors. Compared to previous estimates, the oil spot premium is more volatile and strongly procyclical, which suggests that previous models miss the majority of variation in oil risk premiums. The estimates reveal a dynamic two-way relationship between oil futures and economic activity: productivity shocks are associated with higher oil prices, while oil price shocks affect economic activity by lowering future consumption spending. Unspanned macro factors also affect the valuation of real options. This paper was accepted by Karl Diether, finance.


1984 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 141-154 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marvin L. Hayenga ◽  
Dennis D. Dipietre ◽  
J. Marvin Skadberg ◽  
Ted C. Schroeder

2020 ◽  
Vol 42 (4) ◽  
pp. 611-652
Author(s):  
Nicole M. Moran ◽  
Scott H. Irwin ◽  
Philip Garcia

2012 ◽  
Vol 44 (3) ◽  
pp. 371-396 ◽  
Author(s):  
Scott H. Irwin ◽  
Dwight R. Sanders

The first decade of the 21st century has perhaps witnessed more structural change in commodity futures markets than all previous decades combined. Not only have trading volumes and open interest increased markedly, but this time period also saw historic changes in both trading and participants. The available literature indicates that the irrational and harmful impacts of the structural changes in commodity futures markets over the last decade have been minimal. In particular, there is little evidence that passive index investment caused a massive bubble in commodity futures prices. There is intriguing evidence of several other rational and beneficial impacts of the structural changes over the last decade. In particular, the expanding market participation may have decreased risk premiums, and hence, the cost of hedging, reduced price volatility, and better integrated commodity markets with financial markets.


1992 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 65-83 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas H. McCurdy ◽  
Ieuan Morgan

1984 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 189-211 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jacques Raynauld ◽  
Jacques Tessier

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