scholarly journals Particle Filtering, Learning, and Smoothing for Mixed-Frequency State-Space Models

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Markus Leippold ◽  
Hanlin Yang
2008 ◽  
Vol 56 (12) ◽  
pp. 5790-5803 ◽  
Author(s):  
Derek Yee ◽  
J.P. Reilly ◽  
T. Kirubarajan ◽  
K. Punithakumar

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Monty Rubin ◽  
Jim Dowell ◽  
Nathan Strachan ◽  
Edwin Weintraub

Smoothing in state-space models amounts to computing the conditional distribution of the latent state trajectory, given observations,or expectations of functionals of the state trajectory with respect tothis distributions. For models that are not linear Gaussian or possess finite state space, smoothing distributions are in general infeasibleto compute as they involve intergrals over a space of dimensionalityat least equal to the number of observations. Recent years have seenan increased interest in Monte Carlo-based methods for smoothing,often involving particle filters. One such method is to approximatefilter distributions with a particle filter, and then to simulate backwards on the trellis of particles using a backward kernel. We showthat by supplementing this procedure with a Metropolis-Hastings stepdeciding whether to accept a proposed trajectory or not, one obtainsa Markov chain Monte Carlo scheme whose stationary distribution isthe exact smoothing distribution. We also show that in this procedure,backward sampling can be replaced by backward smoothing, which effectively means averaging over all possible trajectories. In an examplewe compare these approaches to a similar one recently proposed by Andrieu, Doucet and Holenstein, and show that the new methods can bemore efficient in terms of precision (inverse variance) per computationtime.


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