Foreign Exchange Volatility Under Inflation Targeting in Uganda: An SVAR Approach

2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen Lukwago
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Foreign Exchange Volatility

Carry Trades and Global Foreign Exchange Volatility

CFA Digest ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 42 (3) ◽  
pp. 1-2
Author(s):  
Georgeann Portokalis
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Foreign Exchange Volatility

Is Foreign Exchange Volatility Risk Priced?

2006 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hui Guo ◽  
Christopher J. Neely ◽  
Jason Higbee
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Volatility Risk ◽  
Foreign Exchange Volatility

scholarly journals Five Years of Inflation Targeting Without Economic Growth: What Should Be Changed? The Case of Russia

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 162
Author(s):  
Oscar Gasanov
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Economic Agents ◽  
Price Growth ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Stability ◽  
High Level

The article provides a review of approaches to assessing and analyzing the effectiveness of the interest rate and exchange rate policy of the Bank of Russia in the period 2015-2019. Despite the decrease in the rate of price growth, inflationary expectations of economic agents remain at a high level. Monetary policy continues to be tight. The stability of the exchange rate to external shocks, expected from the introduction of inflation targeting and a free floating rate, did not happen. The complex of conditions that have developed due to geopolitical factors, low growth rates and the global economic crisis caused by the coronavirus pandemic require the search for new targets, such as economic growth and exchange rate stability. To maintain the stability of the ruble exchange rate, it is recommended to sell foreign exchange reserves accumulated according to the "Budget rule" in an equivalent amount; to support the liquidity of banks during periods of an attack on the ruble, it should through foreign exchange REPO, and develop a derivatives market.

scholarly journals What to Smooth: Rate of Interest or the Foreign Exchange? Turkish Monetary Policy under Turbulent Times

2014 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Erinc Yeldan ◽  
Gunes Kolsuz ◽  
Burcu Unuvar
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Great Recession ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Policy Option ◽  
The Great Recession ◽  
Turbulent Times ◽  
Exchange Markets ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
Republic Of Turkey

AbstractThis paper studies the new monetary stance of the Central Bank of Republic of Turkey (CBRT) during the Great Recession. We note that characteristics of the post-1997 “Great Moderation” revealed interest rate smoothing as a valid policy option for the inflation targeting central banks. Utilizing econometric analysis on a general form of a Taylor Rule, we search for the relative weights of the objective function of the CBRT over Jan 2010–Dec 2013. We find that over the Great Recession, the CBRT’s focus on “interest smoothing” had been maintained; and yet the burden of adjustment fell disproportionately on the foreign exchange markets. Furthermore, weak credibility of the CBRT, lack of a simple policy rule, and noisy policy communications evidence that pre-requisites of the interest rate smoothing are not being fulfilled. Inevitable sharp policy corrections that follow smoothing periods proved insufficient against the voluminous global flows.

The impact of exchange volatility exposure on firms’ foreign-denominated debts

2019 ◽  
Vol 57 (11) ◽  
pp. 3035-3060 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yujuana Min ◽  
Oh Suk Yang
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Foreign Currency ◽  
Management Strategies ◽  
Foreign Exchange Risk ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Exchange Risk ◽  
Foreign Exchange Exposure ◽  
Foreign Exchange Volatility ◽  
Exchange Risk Management

Purpose This research began by acknowledging that conventional analysis on the foreign exchange exposure could not adequately reflect firms’ risk management strategies, which firms take actions against uncertainties raised by foreign exchange. In order to conceptualize uncertainty aroused by foreign exchange, the purpose of this paper is to develop an index that could measure corporate profits’ sensitivity to foreign exchange uncertainty and examine its possibility of utilization. Design/methodology/approach As an alternative to foreign exchange exposure, the present research derived the foreign exchange volatility exposure and analyzed the determinants of foreign currency-denominated debt in terms of foreign exchange volatility exposure. The foreign exchange volatility exposure draws from partially differentiating a firm’s operating profits to the exchange rate volatility. Findings The major findings are as follows. First, before the Asian financial crisis, South Korean enterprises had similar responses to the exchange volatility exposure as compared with the exchange exposure on procuring foreign-denominated debt. Second, since the global financial crisis (GFC), not only have Korean firms’ response mechanisms to both exposures changed, but also the significance of exchange volatility exposure has been further emphasized. Furthermore, Korean companies have dealt with exchange uncertainties by decreasing foreign-denominated debt as their foreign exchange volatility exposure increased after GFC. In contrast, the influence of conventional exchange exposure on foreign-denominated debt has diminished. Research limitations/implications Future research should focus on several points. First, additional research could extend to foreign investors who have divergent perception and consideration in regard to foreign exchange risk management. Second, research on decision making and motivation in foreign currency choice should be conducted in order to deepen academic understanding. Third, research that refines the variables added in the current research should be conducted. Finally, as a way to manage foreign exchange volatility exposure, further investigation based on this study is possible. Practical implications The results of this study have several important theoretical and empirical implications for companies’ foreign exchange risk management strategy. First, through foreign exchange volatility exposure, which can usefully take over the role of the existing foreign exchange exposure, the authors can confirm market uncertainty as being relevant to the foreign exchange risk management strategy. Second, through the financial influence that the foreign exchange volatility exposure has on the foreign currency-denominated debt, the authors can observe the Korean firms’ paradigm shifts in their foreign exchange risk management strategies. Originality/value This research confirms the importance of foreign exchange volatility exposure in the research works dealing with firms’ exchange risk management, also the possible influence of foreign exchange volatility exposure in the future might be increased as uncertainty is raised from foreign exchange escalating.

scholarly journals Inflation targeting, disinflation, and debt traps in Argentina

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 78-105
Author(s):  
Emiliano Libman ◽  
Gabriel Palazzo
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Current Account ◽  
Risk Premium ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Current Account Deficit ◽  
External Debt ◽  
Stabilization Process ◽  
Eventual Collapse

This paper highlights the role of external indebtedness and the presence of inflationary inertia in order to assess the effectiveness and sustainability of inflation targeting during disinflation episodes. As the recent Argentinian experience illustrates, a sluggish inflation rate and a significant current-account deficit may make the stabilization process difficult. To illustrate the point, we build a model that shows that, when inflation adjusts fast, the target may be achieved without building too much external debt. But if inflation adjusts slowly, an excessive build-up of external debt could lead to an increase in the risk premium, a sudden shortage of foreign exchange, and the eventual collapse of the inflation-targeting regime.

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