Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the Euro Area and the United States

2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ali Alichi ◽  
Olivier Bizimana ◽  
Silvia Domit ◽  
Emilio Fernandez-Corugedo ◽  
Douglas Laxton ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
The United States ◽  
Potential Output

Multivariate Filter Estimation of Potential Output for the Euro Area and the United States

2015 ◽  
Vol 15 (253) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ali Alichi ◽  
Olivier Bizimana ◽  
Silvia Domit ◽  
Emilio Fernández Corugedo ◽  
Douglas Laxton ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
The United States ◽  
Potential Output

scholarly journals Inflation Forecasts: Are Market-Based and Survey-Based Measures Informative?

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 171 ◽  
Author(s):  
Magdalena Grothe ◽  
Aidan Meyler
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Predictive Power ◽  
The United States ◽  
Inflation Expectations ◽  
Survey Of Professional Forecasters ◽  
Inflation Forecasts

This paper analyses the predictive power of market-based and survey-based inflation expectations for actual inflation. We use the data on inflation swaps and the forecasts from the Survey of Professional Forecasters for the euro area and the United States. The results show that both market-based and survey-based measures have a non-negligible predictive power for inflation developments, as compared to statistical benchmark models. Therefore, for horizons of one and two years ahead, market-based and survey-based inflation expectations actually convey information on future inflation developments.

Cross-Cutting Themes in Major Article IV Consultations

Policy Papers ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 09 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
United Kingdom ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Capital Flows ◽  
World Economy ◽  
The United States ◽  
Policy Responses ◽  
The United Kingdom ◽  
The World ◽  
Cross Country

This paper is part of a broader on-going effort to bring a more cross-country perspective to bilateral surveillance, taking advantage of a cluster of Article IV consultations with five systemically important economies concluded in July. With the five economies—the United States, the Euro area, China, Japan, and the United Kingdom—accounting for two-thirds of global output and three quarters of capital flows, the nature of linkages and consistency of policy responses across the systemic five (S5) has important implications for the world economy.

2012 Spillover Report

Policy Papers ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 (79) ◽  
Author(s):  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
South Africa ◽  
Saudi Arabia ◽  
Czech Republic ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Full Range ◽  
The United States ◽  
External Effects ◽  
The Czech Republic ◽  
The United Kingdom

Spillover reports examine the external effects of domestic policies in five systemic economies (S5), comprising China, the Euro Area, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States. The report aims to provide an added perspective to the policy line developed in the Article IV discussions with these entities and an input into the Fund’s broader multilateral surveillance. Topics for this report were chosen based on consultations with officials from the S5 and selected emerging markets (Brazil, the Czech Republic, India, Korea, Mexico, Poland, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, South Africa, and Turkey). Each participant was asked about policy concerns and spillovers from the S5. To facilitate candor, the report does not attribute views regarding partner countries. Rather than try to capture the full range of spillovers, this report builds on last year’s findings, focusing on the forward-looking issues raised by partners and on S5 officials’ reactions.

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