OPEC in the News: The Effect of OPEC on Oil Price Uncertainty

2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Plante
Keyword(s):  
Oil Price ◽  
Price Uncertainty

scholarly journals Oil Price Uncertainty, Globalization, and Total Factor Productivity: Evidence from the European Union

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (12) ◽  
pp. 3429
Author(s):  
Svetlana Balashova ◽  
Apostolos Serletis
Keyword(s):  
European Union ◽  
Total Factor Productivity ◽  
New Technologies ◽  
Innovation System ◽  
Price Volatility ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Price Uncertainty ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Factor Productivity ◽  
Tfp Growth

This paper uncovers linkages between oil price uncertainty, total factor productivity (TFP) growth, and critical indicators of knowledge production and spillovers. It contributes to the literature by investigating the effects of oil price volatility on TFP growth, controlling for two different channels for TFP growth; benefits from the quality of the national innovation system and from adopting new technologies. We use an unbalanced panel for 28 European Union countries for the period from 1990 to 2018. We find that oil price uncertainty has a negative and statistically significant effect on TFP growth, even after we control for technological advancements and the effects of globalization. We also find that the scale of research and innovation and international trade are positive contributors to TFP growth.

Financial stress, economic policy uncertainty, and oil price uncertainty

2021 ◽  
pp. 105686
Author(s):  
George N. Apostolakis ◽  
Christos Floros ◽  
Konstantinos Gkillas ◽  
Mark Wohar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Policy ◽  
Financial Stress ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Policy Uncertainty ◽  
Price Uncertainty ◽  
Economic Policy Uncertainty

Comparing petroleum fiscal regimes under oil price uncertainty

2006 ◽  
Vol 31 (2) ◽  
pp. 95-105 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andon J. Blake ◽  
Mark C. Roberts
Keyword(s):  
Oil Price ◽  
Price Uncertainty ◽  
Fiscal Regimes

Oil price uncertainty and equity returns

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 64-79 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aktham Maghyereh ◽  
Basel Awartani
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Oil Production ◽  
Equity Returns ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Price Uncertainty ◽  
Mena Region ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Impact

Purpose This paper aims to examine the impact of oil price uncertainty on the stock market returns of ten oil importing and exporting countries in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. The sample contains both oil importing and oil exporting countries that depend heavily on oil production and exports. Design/methodology/approach This paper intuitively applies the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH)-in-mean vector autoregression (VAR) model using weekly data over the period January 2001-February 2014. Findings The findings indicate that oil uncertainty matters in the determination of real stock returns. There is a negative and significant relationship between oil price uncertainty and real stock returns in all countries in the sample. The influence of oil price risk is more serious in those economies that depend heavily on oil revenues to grow. Practical implications The findings have important implications. For instance, managers should be aware of the linkages between oil price uncertainty and equity returns when they use oil to hedge and diversify equities, particularly in economies where oil is important for economic growth. The policymakers in oil importing countries should encourage companies to improve efficiency in the usage of energy and to resort to alternative sources to avoid fluctuations in earnings and equity prices. In the countries that heavily depend on oil efforts should focus on diversifying the domestic economy away from oil to protect against oil price fluctuations. Originality/value To the best of our knowledge, this is the first attempt to study the influence of oil price uncertainty in the MENA region. The sample contains both oil importing and oil exporting countries that depend heavily on oil production and exports. The empirical findings of the paper have valuable policy implications for investors, market participants and policymakers.

OIL, UNCERTAINTY, AND GASOLINE PRICES

2016 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 546-561 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dongfeng Chang ◽  
Apostolos Serletis
Keyword(s):  
Crude Oil ◽  
The United States ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Multivariate Garch ◽  
Gasoline Prices ◽  
Price Uncertainty ◽  
Structural Vector Autoregression ◽  
Alternative Measures ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Positive Effect

In this paper we investigate the relationship between crude oil and gasoline prices and also examine the effect of oil price uncertainty on gasoline prices. The empirical model is based on a structural vector autoregression that is modified to accommodate multivariate GARCH-in-Mean errors. We use monthly data for the United States over the period from January 1976 to September 2014. We find that there is an asymmetric relationship between crude oil and gasoline prices, and that oil price uncertainty has a positive effect on gasoline price changes. Our results are robust to alternative model specifications and alternative measures of the price of oil.

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