(Macroeconomic Factors of the Russian Stock Market Dynamics)

Author(s):  
Vadim Zyamalov ◽  
Marina Turuntseva ◽  
Y. Ulyanenko
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 190-207
Author(s):  
Vladimir A. BELYAEV

Subject. The article considers the phenomenon of clustering in the initial public offering (IPO) market. Objectives. The aim is to perform a critical analysis of literature on the IPO market behavior and determine the optimal moment of company's listing on stock exchange. Methods. The study draws on analytical methods of information gathering and processing, as well as the comparative analysis. Results. The paper summarizes results of works by researchers on the IPO markets clustering, defines criteria for successful listing on stock exchange, unveils a number of factors affecting the market dynamics. It also determines possible ways and indicators to predict the onset of the "hot" market for initial public offerings. Conclusions. Macroeconomic factors and investor sentiment explain the clustering of IPO markets. Given that the waves in this market are of short-term nature, the macroeconomic performance is an inaccurate indicator, when predicting the onset of waves of initial public offerings, as opposed to investor sentiment. Indicators, like the reversal of the stock market from recession to growth, positive market dynamics for three months, and a period of low imputed volatility may serve as indicators of the imminent onset of a wave of initial public offerings. A successful IPO of a company operating in a particular industry may lead to an increase in the number of transactions of similar companies from this industry, provided that the stock market continues to show a positive trend during the period, which is necessary to get ready for an IPO.


2021 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 158-169
Author(s):  
Vladimir A. BELYAEV

Subject. The article considers the phenomenon of clustering in the initial public offering (IPO) market. Objectives. The aim is to perform a critical analysis of literature on the IPO market behavior and determine the optimal moment of company's listing on stock exchange. Methods. The study draws on analytical methods of information gathering and processing, as well as the comparative analysis. Results. The paper summarizes results of works by researchers on the IPO markets clustering, defines criteria for successful listing on stock exchange, unveils a number of factors affecting the market dynamics. It also determines possible ways and indicators to predict the onset of the hot issue market for initial public offerings. Conclusions. Macroeconomic factors and investor sentiment explain the clustering of IPO markets. Given that the waves in this market are of short-term nature, the macroeconomic performance is an inaccurate indicator, when predicting the onset of waves of initial public offerings, as opposed to investor sentiment. Indicators, like the reversal of the stock market from recession to growth, positive market dynamics for three months, and a period of low imputed volatility may serve as indicators of the imminent onset of a wave of initial public offerings. A successful IPO of a company operating in a particular industry may lead to an increase in the number of transactions of similar companies from this industry, provided that the stock market continues to show a positive trend during the period, which is necessary to get ready for an IPO.


2007 ◽  
pp. 4-26 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Ershov

Growing involvement of Russian economy in international economic sphere increases the role of external risks. Financial problems which the developed countries are encountered with today result in volatility of Russian stock market, liquidity problems for banks, unstable prices. These factors in total may put longer-term prospects of economic growth in jeopardy. Monetary, foreign exchange and stock market mechanisms become the centerpiece of economic policy approaches which should provide for stable development in the shaky environment.


2019 ◽  
pp. 48-76 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander E. Abramov ◽  
Alexander D. Radygin ◽  
Maria I. Chernova

The article analyzes the problems of applying stock pricing models in the Russian stock market. The novelty of the study lies in the peculiarities of the methodology used and the substantive conclusions on the specifics of the influence of fundamental factors on the pricing of shares of Russian companies. The study was conducted using its own 5-factor basic pricing model based on a sample of the most complete number of issues of shares of Russian issuers and a long time horizon, from 1997 to 2017. The market portfolio was the widest for a set of issuers. We consider the factor model as a kind of universal indicator of the efficiency of the stock market performance of its functions. The article confirms the significance of factors of a broad market portfolio, size, liquidity and, in part, momentum (inertia). However, starting from 2011, the significance of factors began to decrease as the qualitative characteristics of the stock market deteriorated due to the outflow of foreign portfolio investment, combined with the low level of development of domestic institutional investors. Also identified is the cyclical nature of the actions of company size and liquidity factors. Their ability to generate additional income on shares rises mainly at the stage of the fall of the stock market. The results of the study suggest that as domestic institutional investors develop on the Russian stock market, factor investment strategies can be used as a tool to increase the return on investor portfolios.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document