A Better Specified Asset Pricing Model to Explain the Cross-Section and Time-Series of Commodity Returns

2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gurdip Bakshi ◽  
Xiaohui Gao ◽  
Alberto G. Rossi
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Asset Pricing ◽  
Cross Section ◽  
Pricing Model ◽  
Asset Pricing Model ◽  
The Cross

scholarly journals A Statistical Factor Asset Pricing Model Versus the 4-Factor Model

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 545
Author(s):  
Verônica De Fátima Santana ◽  
Alex Augusto Timm Rathke
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Asset Pricing ◽  
Cross Section ◽  
Factor Model ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Pricing Model ◽  
Asset Pricing Model ◽  
Statistical Factor ◽  
The Cross ◽  
Section Dimension

This research aims to compare the performance of a statistical factor asset pricing model with the Fama-French-Carhart 4-factor model. We perform a Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to extract latent risk factors using data of stocks listed on B3 from 2001 to 2015. We test the abilities of the two models to explain assets' returns both in the time-series and in the cross-section dimension. We found that the statistical factor models generates statistically significant abnormal returns in the time-series analysis while the 4-factor model does not. In the cross section dimension, neither model generates significant abnormal returns but they also are not able to generate positive risk premia. Similar results are found if we consider different sets of time and assets. Therefore, although the 4-factor model performs slightly better in the set of tests, neither of the models can be considered fully adequate to explain expected returns of assets in the Brazilian stock market.

Interest Rate Risk and the Cross Section of Stock Returns

2014 ◽  
Vol 49 (2) ◽  
pp. 483-511 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abraham Lioui ◽  
Paulo Maio
Keyword(s):  
Asset Pricing ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Cross Section ◽  
Interest Rate Risk ◽  
Pricing Model ◽  
Nested Models ◽  
Asset Pricing Model ◽  
Rate Risk ◽  
The Cross

AbstractWe derive a macroeconomic asset pricing model in which the key factor is the opportunity cost of money. The model explains well the cross section of stock returns in addition to the excess market return. The interest rate factor is priced and seems to drive most of the explanatory power of the model. In this model, both value stocks and past long-term losers enjoy higher average (excess) returns because they have higher interest rate risk than growth/past winner stocks. The model significantly outperforms the nested models (capital asset pricing model (CAPM) and consumption CAPM (CCAPM)) and compares favorably with alternative macroeconomic models.

scholarly journals Technology prospect and the cross-section of stock returns: evidence from the Australian market

2013 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 295-303
Author(s):  
Qi Shi ◽  
Ali F. Darrat ◽  
Bin Li ◽  
Richard Chung
Keyword(s):  
Asset Pricing ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Cross Section ◽  
Factor Models ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
Pricing Model ◽  
Asset Pricing Model ◽  
The Cross ◽  
Three Factor

We examine the link between technology prospect and stock returns in the Australian market. Our results suggest that the technology-based asset pricing model outperforms the CAPM and Fama-French three-factor models in explaining the cross-section of the Australian Fama-French 25 size/book-to-market portfolios. The results prove robust to using alternative estimation methods and continue to supports the importance of the technology factor for shaping the cross section of the Fama-French portfolios returns.

scholarly journals Modelos de retornos esperados no mercado brasileiro: testes empíricos utilizando metodologia preditiva

2009 ◽  
pp. 192-216 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adriano Mussa ◽  
Pablo Rogers ◽  
José Roberto Securato
Keyword(s):  
Asset Pricing ◽  
Cross Section ◽  
Capital Asset Pricing Model ◽  
Capital Asset Pricing ◽  
Pricing Model ◽  
Capital Asset ◽  
Asset Pricing Model

Metodologias preditivas para teste de modelos de retornos esperados são amplamente difundidas no meio acadêmico internacional, entretanto, não têm sido sistematicamente aplicadas no Brasil. Geralmente, os estudos empíricos procedidos com dados do mercado acionário brasileiro concentram-se apenas na primeira etapa dessas metodologias. O objetivo deste artigo foi testar e comparar os modelos CAPM (Capital Asset Pricing Model), 3-fatores e 4-fatores a partir de uma metodologia de teste preditivo, utilizando duas etapas – regressões em séries temporais e cross-section – com erros-padrão calculados pela técnica de Fama e Macbeth (1973). Apesar dos resultados indicarem a superioridade do modelo 4- fatores em relação ao modelo 3-fatores, e esse em relação ao CAPM, nenhum dos modelos testados foram suficientes na explicação das variações dos retornos das ações do mercado brasileiro. Contrário a algumas evidências empíricas que não utilizam a metodologia preditiva, os efeitos tamanho e momento parecem não estar presentes no mercado de capitais brasileiro, enquanto há indícios da presença do efeito valor e relevância do mercado em explicar retornos esperados. Os achados dessa pesquisa levantaram alguns questionamentos, principalmente, devido à originalidade metodológica no mercado nacional e o tema ser ainda incipiente e polêmico no meio acadêmico brasileiro.

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