scholarly journals The Term Structure of Currency Carry Trade Risk Premia

Author(s):  
Hanno N. Lustig ◽  
Andreas Stathopoulos ◽  
Adrien Verdelhan
2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hanno Lustig ◽  
Andreas Stathopoulos ◽  
Adrien Verdelhan

2019 ◽  
Vol 109 (12) ◽  
pp. 4142-4177 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hanno Lustig ◽  
Andreas Stathopoulos ◽  
Adrien Verdelhan

Fixing the investment horizon, the returns to currency carry trades decrease as the maturity of the foreign bonds increases. Across developed countries, the local currency term premia, which increase with the maturity of the bonds, offset the currency risk premia. Similarly, in the time-series, the predictability of foreign bond returns in dollars declines with the bonds’ maturities. Leading no-arbitrage models in international finance do not match the downward term structure of currency carry trade risk premia. We derive a simple preference-free condition that no-arbitrage models need to reproduce in the absence of carry trade risk premia on long-term bonds. (JEL E43, G12, G15)


Author(s):  
Carl Chiarella ◽  
Chih-Ying Hsiao ◽  
Thuy Duong To

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document