Econometric Model for Measuring Credit Risk (Theory of Capital Structure, Bankruptcy Costs & Financial Distress)

2006 ◽  
Author(s):  
Krishnan Srinivasan Chari
2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Marwa Fersi ◽  
Mouna Bougelbène

PurposeThe purpose of this paper was to investigate the impact of credit risk-taking on financial and social efficiency and examine the relationship between credit risk, capital structure and efficiency in the context of Islamic microfinance institutions (MFIs) compared to their conventional counterparts.Design/methodology/approachThe stochastic frontier approach was used to estimate the financial and social efficiency scores, in a first step. In a second step, the impact of risk-taking on efficiency was evaluated. The authors also took into account the moderating role of capital structure in this effect using the fixed and random effects generalized least squares (GLS) with a first-order autoregressive disturbance. The used dataset covers 326 conventional MFIs and 57 Islamic MFIs in six different regions of the world over the period of 2005–2015.FindingsThe overall average efficiency scores are less than 50%, where CMFIs could have produced their outputs using 48% of their actual inputs. IMFIs record the lowest financial (cost) efficiency that is equal to 28% on average. The estimation results also reveal a negative impact of nonperforming loan on financial and social efficiency. Finally, the moderating effect of leverage funding on the relationship between credit risk-taking and financial efficiency was confirmed in CMFIs. However, leverage seems to moderate the effect of risk-taking behavior on social efficiency for IMFIs.Originality/valueThis paper makes an initial attempt to evaluate the effect of risk-taking decision and its implication on efficiency and MFIs' sustainability. Besides, it takes into consideration the role played by the mode of governance through the ownership structure. In addition, this research study sheds light on the importance of the financial support for the development and sustainability of these institutions, which in return, contributes to a sustainable economic development.


2014 ◽  
Vol 74 (1) ◽  
pp. 115-132 ◽  
Author(s):  
Feng Wu ◽  
Zhengfei Guan ◽  
Robert Myers

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to provide a unified theoretical framework that explains farm capital structure choice. Design/methodology/approach – The framework accommodates different credit access scenarios and heterogeneous risk profiles of borrowers. It recognizes that the costs of capital are endogenously determined, reflecting the degree of credit risk and accessibility to credit markets. Based on the proposed model and the comparative statics derived thereof, the paper empirically tests the impacts of different factors on capital structure choice. Findings – Based on the theoretical framework, the paper derived the impacts of different factors on capital structure choice using comparative statics. Results suggest that the potential determinants of capital structure have varying effects at different ranges of leverage. Empirical evidence supports the theoretical model. Originality/value – Despite all of previous work on various aspects of farm capital structure choice, a framework that encompasses each of the different assumptions and scenarios is still lacking. The theoretical model integrates credit risk models and accommodates endogenous cost of capital, providing a comprehensive framework for studying farm capital structure choice and its determinants. The results provide insights that could help policy makers and lenders develop effective instruments to manage, monitor, and influence the financial leverage of farms at different quantiles of debt ratio.


2016 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 8-19 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kudzai Raymond Marandu ◽  
Athenia Bongani Sibindi

The bank capital structure debacle in the aftermath of the 2007-2009 financial crises continues to preoccupy the minds of regulators and scholars alike. In this paper we investigate the relationship between capital structure and profitability within the context of an emerging market of South Africa. We conduct multiple linear regressions on time series data of big South African banks for the period 2002 to 2013. We establish a strong relationship between the ROA (profitability measure) and the bank specific determinants of capital structure, namely capital adequacy, size, deposits and credit risk. The relationship exhibits sensitivity to macro-economic shocks (such as recessions), in the case of credit risk and capital but is persistent for the other determinants of capital structure.


2008 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Masdar Mas’ud

The study attempts to analyze the factors of capital structure determiner and its impact on company value. The research aims at examining and analyzing the effect of profitability, size, growth opportunity, asset structure, cost of financial distress, and tax shields effects as the capital structure determiners on the manufacturing companies registered at Indonesia Stock Exchange. The differences between the factors of capital structure determiners (consisting of profitability, size, growth opportunity, asset structure, cost of financial distress, and tax shields effects) and the value of manufacturing companie registered at Indonesia Stock Exchange. The sample includes 59 companies registered at Indonesia Stock Exchange the data analysis instrument employed was Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) and t-test. The results of the research indicate that the factors of capital structure determiners, which have significant effect on capital structures, are profitability, size, growth opportunity, asset structure and cost of financial distress. The exception may be tax shields effects, which do not give significant effect at all on capital structure. The latter becomes evident because the depreciation and amortization rates of the registered Indonesia manufacturing company do not seem significant to contribute to company cash flow so that it stands out of company debt proportion.The factors of capital structure determiners with significant effect on capital structures involve profitability, size, asset structure, and cost of financial distress and tax shields effects. Size and growth opportunity do not have significant effect on the capital structure because manufacturing companies consider financing their investment using equity financing to deal with little financial risk regardless the size of company. It shows that there is a similarity on these factors of capital structure determiner between manufacturing company registered at Indonesia Stock Exchange the insignificantly defferent determiner factors pertain to growth opportunity, asset structure and company value. Meanwhile, the difference also develops between the factors of capital structure determiner in the manufacturing company registered at Indonesia Stock Exchange. The significantly different determiner factors will be profitability, size, cost of financial distress; tax shields effects and capital structure.


2017 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 254-262 ◽  
Author(s):  
George Kyriazopoulos

This study examines the relationship between corporate governance and capital structure employing data from the Athens Stock Exchange for the period 2005-2014. This period encompasses the sovereign debt crisis erupted in Greece at the end of 2009 and still continues to hit households and businesses alike. The results from the panel regression analysis signify the role of corporate governance structures in determining the capital structure of the Greek listed firms. In particular, the empirical results reveal a negative impact of board size on debt levels, which is weakened during the debt crisis period. In contrast, the presence of outside directors provides the appropriate certification to use more debt. Finally, growth opportunities and profitability are the two firm-specific factors which effect was weakened during the financially-constraint period.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document