Ceasefires and Shifting Power: Revisiting the Commitment Problem and Third-Party Intervention in Civil Conflict

2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brian T. Haggerty
Keyword(s):  
Civil Conflict ◽  
Third Party ◽  
Third Party Intervention ◽  
Commitment Problem

Do International Interventions Prolong Civil Conflicts? The Effect of Ex Ante Expectations

2020 ◽  
pp. 0095327X2096765
Author(s):  
Tsukasa Watanabe
Keyword(s):  
Direct Effect ◽  
Indirect Effect ◽  
Civil Conflict ◽  
Third Party ◽  
Civil Conflicts ◽  
Third Party Intervention ◽  
Ex Ante ◽  
Conflict Duration ◽  
External Interventions ◽  
External Intervention

Many studies have found that third-party intervention tends to prolong the duration of civil conflict. However, some studies have suggested that mere expectations of external intervention can prolong conflict duration even in the absence of actual intervention. Therefore, the effects of external interventions in prolonging the duration of civil conflicts remain unclear. This study examines the direct effect of third-party intervention on the duration of civil conflict by controlling for the indirect effect of expectations of external intervention. The probabilities of intervention were estimated, and the direct effect of interventions was tested by controlling for the effect of ex ante expectations. The empirical findings were as follows: (1) Third-party intervention has no direct effect of prolonging the duration of a conflict when expectations are controlled for, and (2) Third-party intervention may have an indirect effect of shortening conflict duration, which contradicts the findings of previous studies.

Toward a holistic networks approach to strategic third-party intervention: A literature review

2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 277-292 ◽  
Author(s):  
Colin Hannigan
Keyword(s):  
Literature Review ◽  
Recent Literature ◽  
Civil Conflict ◽  
Third Parties ◽  
Third Party ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Civil Conflicts ◽  
Third Party Intervention ◽  
External Actors ◽  
Conflict Outcomes

How do third parties decide to intervene in civil conflicts? The study of intervention has focused primarily on the conflict characteristics and dyadic linkages that make intervention more likely, or the conflict outcomes that interventions generate, while holding all else equal. To paint a more complete picture of what goes into the intervention decision, I advocate a shift in the way we conceive of interventions toward network analysis, which grants due agency to the multiple external actors and internal combatants that influence the decision to intervene. This review critically examines and synthesizes the recent literature on third-party interventions in civil conflict and, in so doing, identifies some areas for future research.

Enclosure for fuse cutout against third party intervention

2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luiz Felipe R. B. Toledo ◽  
Andre Eugenio Lazzaretti ◽  
Edemir Luiz Kowalski ◽  
Marcelo Antonio Ravaglio ◽  
Jose Arinos Teixeira ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Third Party ◽  
Third Party Intervention

scholarly journals (2012) 30 Windsor Y B Access Just 103 A VIEW FROM WITHIN: RECONCEPTUALIZING MEDIATOR INTERACTIONS

2012 ◽  
Vol 30 (2) ◽  
pp. 103 ◽  
Author(s):  
Debbie De Girolamo
Keyword(s):  
Real Life ◽  
Ethnographic Study ◽  
Third Party ◽  
Mediation Process ◽  
Study Analysis ◽  
Case Study Analysis ◽  
Third Party Intervention ◽  
Life Patterns ◽  
Participant Observer

This paper explores mediator interactions from within the mediation process. It is difficult to obtain access to mediations due to issues of confidentiality and litigation privilege, thus restricting direct empirical research. During a yearlong ethnographic study during which the author was a participant-observer of a number of commercial mediations, the nature of mediations was explored from an independent observational perspective – separate from the process yet within the process. In this study, real life patterns of interactions are examined through case study analysis. It offers a reconceptualization of the nature of mediator interventions, one that moves beyond the accepted understanding of third party intervention. It suggests that the mediator has a fugitive identity in mediation, reflecting a traditional neutral third party intervener role, a party role and an adviser role.Dans le présent document, l‟auteure explore les interactions des médiateurs dans le cadre du processus de médiation. Il est difficile d‟obtenir l‟accès aux séances de médiation en raison du secret professionnel et du privilège relatif au litige, et cette difficulté limite la recherche empirique directe. Au cours d‟une étude ethnographique qui s‟est déroulée sur une année et à laquelle l‟auteure a participé comme observatrice d‟un certain nombre de médiations commerciales, la nature des médiations a été explorée d‟un point de vue observationnel indépendant – distinct du processus bien qu‟au sein du processus. Dans la présente étude, des situations réelles d‟interaction sont examinées au moyen de l‟analyse d‟études de cas. L‟auteure offre une reconceptualisation de la nature des interventions du médiateur, qui va au-delà de ce qui est reconnu comme l‟intervention d‟une tierce partie. Le médiateur aurait une identité fugace dans le processus de médiation, cette identité s‟expliquant par un rôle traditionnel de tiers intervenant neutre, un rôle de partie et un rôle de conseiller.

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