The Signaling Channel of Central Bank Interventions: Modelling the Yen/US Dollar Exchange Rate

2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu-Fu Chen ◽  
Michael Funke ◽  
Nicole Glanemann
Author(s):  
Michael Frenkel ◽  
Georg Stadtmann

SummaryThe paper examines the relationship between central bank interventions in the dollar-deutschmark market and the profitability of technical trading for the period 1979-1992. While previous work on this topic focused on the interventions of the Fed, we include data on Bundesbank interventions and show that there were several similarities. Our analysis yields the result that eliminating days of Fed and Bundesbank interventions causes a simple moving average trading rule to become unprofitable. In addition, we study the dynamics of intra-day exchange rates following and preceding interventions and provide a VAR analysis on the relationship between interventions and the change in the exchange rate. The results suggest that interventions did not cause the high profits of technical trading on intervention days frequently found in other studies.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ishfaque Ahmed Soomro ◽  
Suresh Kumar Oad Rajput ◽  
Najma Ali

2008 ◽  
Vol 30 (6) ◽  
pp. 973-991 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yue-Jun Zhang ◽  
Ying Fan ◽  
Hsien-Tang Tsai ◽  
Yi-Ming Wei

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document