scholarly journals Credit Rating Agencies, the Sovereign Debt Crisis and Competition Law

2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicolas Petit
Keyword(s):  
Sovereign Debt ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Competition Law ◽  
Credit Rating Agencies ◽  
Sovereign Debt Crisis ◽  
Rating Agencies

scholarly journals The Role of Credit Rating Agencies in Sovereign Debt Markets

2018 ◽  
pp. 146-166
Author(s):  
Aline Darbellay
Keyword(s):  
Sovereign Debt ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Credit Ratings ◽  
Credit Rating Agencies ◽  
Past Century ◽  
The European Union ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
Sovereign Credit Ratings

Since the global financial crisis of 2007-2009, the leading credit rating agencies (CRAs) have faced an increasing level of legal and regulatory scrutiny in the United States (US) and in the European Union (EU). This chapter sheds light on the promise and perils of sovereign credit ratings in the light of the European sovereign debt crisis. The leading CRAs have been blamed for providing investors with inaccurate credit ratings, facing inappropriate incentives and lack of oversight. This chapter addresses the evolving function performed by CRAs over the past century. Traditionally, CRAs are private market actors assessing the creditworthiness of borrowers and debt instruments. Since the first sovereign bond ratings assigned in 1918, the rating business has grown in size and importance. Sovereign ratings supposedly predict financial distress of governments. Their role has shifted over the last four decades. Although they have repeatedly been blamed for being poor predictors of sovereign debt crises, CRAs continue to play a key role in modern capital markets.

scholarly journals Sovereign Credit_Rating Disclose and Bond Liquidity under Sovereign Debt Crisis

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Amir Saadaoui ◽  
Mohamed Kriaa
Keyword(s):  
Sovereign Debt ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Bond Markets ◽  
Sovereign Debt Crisis ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
Sovereign Bonds ◽  
Daily Data ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Bond Liquidity

This study examines the effect of the informational content of local credit rating announcements in emerging markets on the liquidity of their bond markets. We analyze the bond liquidity markets across five countries such as Poland, Greece, Spain, Hungary and Turkey. The sample includes daily data about sovereign bonds over the period ranging from July 2009 to January 2014.We mainly focus on the period before and after the sovereign debt crisis. We note that the bond liquidity is affected due to the sign of the rating granted by the rating agencies for each country.

Assessing sovereign risk: the case of rich countries

2014 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 212-225 ◽  
Author(s):  
Norbert Gaillard
Keyword(s):  
Sovereign Debt ◽  
Credit Rating ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Sovereign Debt Crisis ◽  
Bond Yields ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Great Recession ◽  
Market Participants ◽  
Investment Grade ◽  
Rich Countries

Purpose – This paper aims to shed new light on the inability of credit rating agencies (CRAs) to forecast the recent defaults and so-called quasi-defaults of rich countries. It also describes how Moody’s sovereign rating methodology has been modified – and could be further improved – to solve this problem. Design/methodology/approach – After converting bond yields into yield-implied ratings, accuracy ratios are computed to compare the respective performances of CRAs and market participants. Then Iceland’s and Greece’s ratings at the beginning of the Great Recession are estimated while accounting for the parameters included in the new methodology implemented by Moody’s in 2013. Findings – Market participants outperformed Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s in terms of anticipating the sovereign debt crisis that hit several European countries starting in 2008. However, the new methodology implemented by Moody’s should lead to more conservative and accurate sovereign ratings. Originality/value – The chronic inability of CRAs to anticipate public debt crises in rich countries is dangerous because the countries affected – which are generally rated in the investment-grade category – are substantially downgraded, amplifying the sovereign debt crisis. This study is the first to demonstrate that Moody’s has learned from its recent failures. In addition, it recommends ways to detect serious threats to the creditworthiness of high-income countries.

scholarly journals Rating Agencies, Self-Fulfilling Prophecy and Multiple Equilibria? An Empirical Model of the European Sovereign Debt Crisis 2009-2011

2017 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 199 ◽  
Author(s):  
Manfred Gartner ◽  
Bjorn Griesbach
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Sovereign Debt ◽  
Multiple Equilibria ◽  
Rating Scale ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Sovereign Debt Crisis ◽  
Coefficient Estimates ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Rating Agencies ◽  
European Sovereign Debt Crisis

We explore whether governments may have faced scenarios of self-fulfilling prophecy and multiple equilibria during Europe’s sovereign debt crisis. To this end, we estimate the effect of interest rates and other macroeconomic variables on sovereign debt ratings, and of ratings on interest rates. We detect a nonlinear effect of ratings on interest rates which is strong enough to permit multiple equilibria. The good equilibrium is stable, ratings are excellent and interest rates are low. A second unstable equilibrium marks a threshold beyond which the country slides towards an insolvency trap. Coefficient estimates suggest that countries should stay well within the A segment of the rating scale in order to remain safe from being driven towards default.

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