The British Opt-Out from the European Monetary Union: Empirical Evidence from Monetary Policy Rules

Author(s):  
Stefano d'Addona ◽  
Ilaria Musumeci
2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 95 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paolo Canofari ◽  
Alessandra Marcelletti ◽  
Giovanni Piersanti

The introduction of unconventional monetary policy, pushing down the euro value, aims at strengthening the euro area, by increasing its competitiveness and boosting its economic growth. The goal of our paper is to offer a theoretical validation of these facts using a monetary union model in which a representative country and a common central bank strategically interact. The country can choose to stay in or opt out from the monetary union after a demand shock, while the central bank controls the exchange rate to preserve the stability of the union. Our main result is that the announcement of common exchange rate depreciation reduces the probability of a monetary union breakup.


2004 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 147-168 ◽  
Author(s):  
STEPHEN J. SILVIA

Now that time has passed since the introduction of the euro as a commercial currency, it is possible to assess many arguments made in the abstract during the 1990s about European monetary union. This article shows that the euro zone still falls short as an optimal currency area in most respects. In particular, it undertakes an empirical analysis of the labour market and finds no progress toward flexibility or integration. These results challenge assertions of ‘endogenous currency area’ proponents that the euro area would become optimal ‘after the fact’, and that labour markets would serve as the principal avenue of adjustment. Instead, a ‘rigidity trap’ has developed in the euro area, consisting of relatively tight monetary policy, forced fiscal consolidation, and a risk of deflation in some economies. These conditions have compounded the difficulties of structural adjustment in European labour markets.


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