Cashing in on Fear: Implied Jump Risk Premium and the Cross-Section of Option Returns

2011 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mishuk Chowdhury ◽  
Peter P. Lung ◽  
J. David David Diltz
2017 ◽  
Vol 52 (6) ◽  
pp. 2727-2754 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aurelio Vasquez

The slope of the implied volatility term structure is positively related to future option returns. I rank firms based on the slope of the volatility term structure and analyze the returns for straddle portfolios. Straddle portfolios with high slopes of the volatility term structure outperform straddle portfolios with low slopes by an economically and statistically significant amount. The results are robust to different empirical setups and are not explained by traditional factors, higher-order option factors, or jump risk.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kevin Aretz ◽  
Hening Liu ◽  
Shuwen Yang ◽  
Yuzhao Zhang

2011 ◽  
Vol 47 (1) ◽  
pp. 115-135 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mariano González ◽  
Juan Nave ◽  
Gonzalo Rubio

AbstractThis paper explores the cross-sectional variation of expected returns for a large cross section of industry and size/book-to-market portfolios. We employ mixed data sampling (MIDAS) to estimate a portfolio’s conditional beta with the market and with alternative risk factors and innovations to well-known macroeconomic variables. The market risk premium is positive and significant, and the result is robust to alternative asset pricing specifications and model misspecification. However, the traditional 2-pass ordinary least squares (OLS) cross-sectional regressions produce an estimate of the market risk premium that is negative, and significantly different from 0. Using alternative procedures, we compare both beta estimators. We conclude that beta estimates under MIDAS present lower mean absolute forecasting errors and generate better out-of-sample performance of the optimized portfolios relative to OLS betas.


Across multiple measures of “liquidity” and a variety of methods to control for correlated characteristics of more- (less-) liquid bonds, the authors find only limited evidence of a liquidity premium in the cross section of corporate bonds. Specifically, although illiquid bonds have slightly higher credit spreads and directionally higher average returns, portfolios that tilt toward (away from) less (more) liquid bonds exhibit considerably higher levels of volatility. Economically, the low Sharpe ratios of illiquidity factor–mimicking portfolios are hard to justify for an investor. This is puzzling, as theory suggests investors should demand a risk premium for holding less-liquid assets.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. e0181990 ◽  
Author(s):  
Youcong Chao ◽  
Xiaoqun Liu ◽  
Shijun Guo

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