scholarly journals Understanding the Macroeconomic Effects of Working Capital in the United Kingdom

Author(s):  
Emilio Fernandez-Corugedo ◽  
Michael F. McMahon ◽  
Stephen Millard ◽  
Lukasz Rachel
2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 75-102 ◽  
Author(s):  
James Cloyne ◽  
Patrick Hürtgen

This paper estimates the effects of monetary policy based on a new, extensive real-time dataset for the United Kingdom. Employing the Romer–Romer identification approach we construct a new measure of monetary policy innovations and find that a 1 percentage point increase in the policy rate reduces output by 0.6 percent and inflation by up to 1 percentage point after 2 to 3 years. Our use of forecast data is shown to be crucial and that their omission generates the well-known price puzzle. Our estimates are more comparable to the wider VAR literature but we also reconcile our findings with the Romer–Romer estimates for the United States. (JEL E23, E31, E32, E52)


2013 ◽  
Vol 103 (4) ◽  
pp. 1507-1528 ◽  
Author(s):  
James Cloyne

This paper provides new estimates of the macroeconomic effects of tax changes using a new narrative dataset for the United Kingdom. Identification is achieved by isolating “exogenous” tax policy changes using the Romer and Romer narrative strategy. I find that a 1 percent cut in taxes increases GDP by 0.6 percent on impact and 2.5 percent over three years. The findings are remarkably similar to Romer and Romer narrative estimates for the United States, reinforcing the view that tax changes have powerful and persistent effects. “Exogenous” tax changes are also shown to have contributed to important episodes in the UK business cycle. (JEL E23, E32, E62, H20, H61)


2009 ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nishan Fernando ◽  
Gordon Prescott ◽  
Jennifer Cleland ◽  
Kathryn Greaves ◽  
Hamish McKenzie

1990 ◽  
Vol 35 (8) ◽  
pp. 800-801
Author(s):  
Michael F. Pogue-Geile

1992 ◽  
Vol 37 (10) ◽  
pp. 1076-1077
Author(s):  
Barbara A. Gutek

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