scholarly journals Credit Risk and Business Cycles

Author(s):  
Pengfei Wang ◽  
Jianjun Miao
Keyword(s):  
2010 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sirajum Munira ◽  
Yaz Gulnur Muradoglu
Keyword(s):  

Complexity ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Shou Chen ◽  
Xiangqian Jiang

With a view to develop a more realistic model for credit risk analysis in consumer loan, our paper addresses the problem of how to incorporate business cycles into a repayment behavior model of consumer loan in portfolio. A particular Triplet Markov Model (TMM) is presented and introduced to describe the dynamic repayment behavior of consumers. The particular TMM can simultaneously capture the phases of business cycles, transition of systematic credit risk of a loan portfolio, and Markov repayment behavior of consumers. The corresponding Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms of the particular TMM are also developed for estimating the model parameters. We show how the transition of consumers’ repayment states and systematic credit risk of a loan portfolio are affected by the phases of business cycles through simulations.


2005 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Hashem Pesaran ◽  
Björn-Jakob Treutler ◽  
Til Schuermann

Author(s):  
M. Hashem Pesaran ◽  
Til Schuermann ◽  
Björn-Jakob Treutler

2005 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Hashem Pesaran ◽  
Til Schuermann ◽  
Björn-Jakob Treutler

2009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kelly D. Dages ◽  
John W. Jones ◽  
Bailey Klinger
Keyword(s):  

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