Projection of Long-Term Total Factor Productivity Growth for 12 Asian Economies

2010 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jungsoo Park
Keyword(s):  
Total Factor Productivity ◽  
Productivity Growth ◽  
Total Factor Productivity Growth ◽  
Factor Productivity ◽  
Asian Economies

scholarly journals Potential Output in Asia: Some Forward-Looking Scenarios

2016 ◽  
Vol 33 (2) ◽  
pp. 28-55
Author(s):  
Andrew Burns
Keyword(s):  
Total Factor Productivity ◽  
Productivity Growth ◽  
Output Growth ◽  
Total Factor Productivity Growth ◽  
Investment Climate ◽  
Participation Rates ◽  
Factor Productivity ◽  
Potential Output ◽  
Asian Economies ◽  
Potential Output Growth

This paper presents estimates of potential output growth for a sample of 26 Asian economies and projects potential output growth through 2040 under several scenarios. Results suggest that in the absence of further capital deepening, and assuming continued total factor productivity growth at recent rates, potential output growth across economies could slow from a median of 4.6% during 2010–2015 to 2.7% between 2035 and 2040. Demographic trends and an assumed stabilization in capital–output ratios account for most of the slowing. Much better outcomes are possible if trends are supported by policy. Better total factor productivity growth could raise potential output by between 11% and 24% by 2040, while lower unemployment and higher participation rates could boost potential output by 10% or more in some South Asian economies. An improved investment climate could add between 6% and 10% to potential output in most economies, while accelerating structural convergence (moving labor from lower to higher productivity sectors) could raise potential output by 10% or more in half of the examined countries.

scholarly journals Decomposing Total Factor Productivity Growth in Manufacturing and Services

2017 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 88-115 ◽  
Author(s):  
Neil Foster-McGregor ◽  
Bart Verspagen
Keyword(s):  
Total Factor Productivity ◽  
Productivity Growth ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Total Factor Productivity Growth ◽  
Aggregate Productivity ◽  
Factor Productivity ◽  
Input Output ◽  
Tfp Growth ◽  
The World ◽  
Asian Economies

Using the World Input–Output Database, this paper calculates total factor productivity (TFP) growth for a sample of 40 economies during the period 1995–2009 to show that TFP growth in Asian economies has been relatively strong. In a number of Asian economies, TFP growth in services has outpaced that in manufacturing. This paper presents a novel structural decomposition of TFP growth and shows that the main drivers of aggregate productivity growth, as well as differences in productivity growth between services and manufacturing, have been changing factor requirements. These effects tend to offset the negative productivity effect of a declining ratio of value added to gross output.

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