Option Volume and Volatility Response to Scheduled Economic News Releases: Evidence of Informed Trading

1999 ◽  
Author(s):  
John R. Nofsinger ◽  
Brian R. Prucyk
2003 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 315-345 ◽  
Author(s):  
John R. Nofsinger ◽  
Brian Prucyk

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lu Yang

PurposeTo capture the last hour momentum over the intraday session, the authors develop a trading strategy for the exchange-traded fund (ETF) that is effective because of the T+0 trading rule. This strategy generates annualized excess return of 9.673%.Design/methodology/approachIn this study, the authors identify a last hour momentum pattern in which the sixth (seventh) half-hour return predicts the next half-hour return by employing high frequency 2012–2017 data from the China Securities Index (CSI) 300 and its ETF.FindingsOverall, both the predictability and the trading strategy are statistically and economically significant. In addition, the strategy performs more strongly on high volatility days, high trading volume days, high order-imbalance days and days without economic news releases than on other days.Originality/valueNoise trading, late-information trading, infrequent rebalancing and disposition effects from retail investors may account for this phenomenon.


Economies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 112
Author(s):  
Konstantinos Gkillas ◽  
Dimitrios Vortelinos ◽  
Christos Floros ◽  
Athanasios Tsagkanos

We examine the impact of economic news releases on returns, volatility and jumps of the stock and foreign exchange markets of South Africa. We also assess the impact of macroeconomic determinants. The dataset range is fifteen years covering the period from January, 2000 to December, 2014. Results are robust to different sub-periods before and after the global financial crisis of 2008. Volatility is estimated with the use of the median realized variance estimator. Jumps are also detected. The impact of the announcements is assessed building using regression techniques. Returns, volatility and jumps of both stock and foreign exchange markets are significantly explained nationally by macroeconomic fundamentals and economic news releases.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (SI) ◽  
pp. 3-14
Author(s):  
Ameet Kumar Banerjee

The study examines the role of economic news surprises on the volatility of the returns of the Indian Index futures market. Theoretical literature posits that news arrivals influence price discovery. In similar lines, we investigated the relationship between economic news releases, trading activity variables, and returns volatility. We find that economic news surprises and trading activity variables significantly affect returns volatility. However, among volume and news surprises, economic news surprises are much stronger informational signals, and the news surprises effects are found seemingly asymmetric in the index futures contract.


2016 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 33-57 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dimitrios Vortelinos ◽  
Konstantinos Gkillas

This paper evaluates the effect of all European economic news releases on the US financial markets for the main crisis period from June 2007 up to October 2011. Evaluation concerns Sharpe ratios, as well as magnitude and frequency of volatility jumps for the periods before and after a news release. Sharpe ratios are examined with the risk of the excess returns being estimated by the flat-top Bartlett kernel estimator of Barndorff-Nielsen et al. (2008) with an optimal (in a finite sample) choice for the number of autocovariances, as suggested by Bandi and Russell (2011). Volatility jumps are detected according to the jump detection scheme of Ait-Sahalia and Jacod (2009). Keywords: European economic news releases,crisis; macroeconomic variables, Sharpe ratio,jumps. JEL Classification: G01, G15


2020 ◽  
pp. 101727
Author(s):  
Konstantinos Gkillas ◽  
Christoforos Konstantatos ◽  
Athanasios Tsagkanos ◽  
Costas Siriopoulos

2019 ◽  
Vol 65 (12) ◽  
pp. 5697-5720 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patrick Augustin ◽  
Menachem Brenner ◽  
Marti G. Subrahmanyam

We quantify the pervasiveness of informed trading activity in target companies’ equity options before the announcements of 1,859 U.S. takeovers between 1996 and 2012. About 25% of all takeovers have positive abnormal volumes, which are greater for short-dated, out-of-the-money calls, consistent with bullish directional trading before the announcement. Over half of this abnormal activity is unlikely due to speculation, news and rumors, trading by corporate insiders, leakage in the stock market, deal predictability, or beneficial ownership filings by activist investors. We also examine the characteristics of option trades litigated by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for alleged illegal insider trading. Although the characteristics of such trades closely resemble the patterns of abnormal option volume in the U.S. takeover sample, we find that the SEC litigates only about 8% of all deals in it. This paper was accepted by Lauren Cohen, finance.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document