Price Momentum in the New Zealand Stock Market: A Proper Accounting for Transactions Costs and Risk

AbstractThis study conducts a comprehensive investigation into style momentum strategies—the combination of price momentum strategies based on previous medium-term returns and style investing in terms of firm characteristics—in the China stock market over the period 1994 to 2017. Although we do not find style momentum profits over the first sub-period 1994 to 2006, strong evidence shows that style momentum strategies are profitable over the second sub-period 2007 to 2017, even after controlling for trading costs and various market and firm-specific risks. Importantly, the observed style momentum in the second sub-period is distinguished from price momentum and industry momentum but could be attributed to the improved institutional settings in recent years. Specifically, the fast growth of institutional investors since 2006, along with the introduction of margin trading and short sales in 2010, provides style switchers with more efficient investment vehicles to trade an entire style in the China stock market. Finally, we find that style profits exhibit momentum in a cyclical nature; in particular, style momentum profits are negatively related to market states, implying that it is likely for institutional investors to make profits by constructing style momentum strategies when stock market experiences a major decline.

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An Anecdote of Investor Anxiety and Momentum in China

Complexity ◽

10.1155/2020/6564731 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 2020 ◽

pp. 1-21

Author(s):

Hung-Wen Lin ◽

Kun-Ben Lin ◽

Jing-Bo Huang ◽

Xia-Ping Cao

Keyword(s):

Stock Market ◽

Daily Basis ◽

Single Market ◽

Chinese Stock Market ◽

Essential Factor ◽

Price Momentum ◽

Momentum Profits ◽

Retail Investors ◽

A Share

We show the effect of investor anxiety on momentum in the Chinese stock market. In this market dominated by retail investors, we examine the momentum profits in 900 types of daily testing periods. We find prevalent price reversals in the long formation and holding periods in the Chinese A-share market. Compared to Goyal and Wahal (2015), Wang and Xie (2010), and Kang et al. (2002) who found no momentum, our novel finding from a daily basis is that the A-share market presents price momentum within the short formation and holding periods. We first test the momentum profits under different strengths of anxiety in the A-share market. The stocks held by the least anxious investors elicit the strongest price momentum, whereas the stocks held by the most anxious investors encounter much weaker price momentum in the A-share market. According to our empirical outcomes, the A-share market overall exhibits higher anxiety and weaker momentum, whereas the B-share market embodies milder anxiety and stronger momentum. From the results of single market and cross-market comparisons, the intrinsic anxiety of retail investors is an essential factor stimulating the Chinese stock market to be prone to price reversals.

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