Representative Yield Curve Shocks and Stress Testing

Author(s):  
Christophe Villa ◽  
Christophe Perignon
Keyword(s):  
Author(s):  
Francis X. Diebold ◽  
Canlin Li ◽  
Christophe Perignon ◽  
Christophe Villa
Keyword(s):  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jens H. E. Christensen ◽  
Jose A. Lopez ◽  
Paul L. Mussche

Insurance companies and pension funds have liabilities far into the future and typically well beyond the longest maturity bonds trading in fixed-income markets. Such long-lived liabilities still need to be discounted, and yield curve extrapolations based on the information in observed yields can be used. We use dynamic Nelson-Siegel (DNS) yield curve models to extrapolate risk-free yield curves for Switzerland and several countries. We find slight biases in extrapolated long bond yields of just a few basis points. In addition, the DNS model allows the generation of useful financial risk metrics, such as ranges of possible yield outcomes over projection horizons commonly used for stress-testing purposes. Therefore, we recommend using DNS models as a simple tool for generating extrapolated yields for long-term interest rate risk management. This paper was accepted by Kay Giesecke, finance.


2010 ◽  
pp. 61-81 ◽  
Author(s):  
O. Solntsev ◽  
A. Pestova ◽  
M. Mamonov

The article analyzes factors that affect growth of the share of non-performing loans in the loan portfolio of Russian banks and proposes approaches for this share forecasting on the basis of dynamics of macroeconomic indicators. It also deals with methodological issues of remote stress-test of lending agencies. Using the results of conducted stress-test of Russian banks the authors assess their perspective capital needs in 2010 and estimate the share of government assistance in capital injections. Furthermore, the authors define the scale of vulnerable banks groups in the Russian banking sector.


CFA Digest ◽  
1999 ◽  
Vol 29 (2) ◽  
pp. 76-78
Author(s):  
Thomas J. Latta

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