Nonparametric Multivariate Conditional Distribution and Quantile Regression

Author(s):  
Keming Yu ◽  
Xiaochen (Michael) Sun ◽  
Gautam Mitra
2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 115 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bülent Guloglu ◽  
Sinem Guler Kangalli Uyar ◽  
Umut Uyar

<p>This paper analyses the effect of financial ratios on stock returns using quantile regression for dynamic panel data with fixed effects. Eighty three firms of manufacturing industry, which were traded on the Borsa Istanbul for 2000-2014 period, are covered in the study. The most of financial variables have heterogeneous structure so they generally include extreme values. Thus, panel quantile regression technique, suggested by Koenker (2004), is used. Since the technique yields robust estimator in the case of extreme values the Gaussian estimators will be biased and not efficient. The sensitivity of relationship, on the other hand, can be studied for different parts of the stock returns’ conditional distribution by using quantile regression technique. However, because of that the lagged of dependent variable is used as an explanatory variable in dynamic panel models, fixed effect estimators will be biased. Thereby, in this study the instrumental variable approach suggested by Chernozhukov and Hansen (2006) is used to produce unbiased and consistent estimators.</p>The results show that the stock returns respond to the changes on the financial leverage ratio, the dividend yield, the market-to-book value ratio, financial beta and the total active profitability variables differently for the different parts of the stock returns’ conditional distribution. They also indicate that, at high quantiles, return fluctuations in the current period will be more effective for investors’ transaction attitudes on stocks for the next period.


Author(s):  
Carlos Lamarche

For nearly 25 years, advances in panel data and quantile regression were developed almost completely in parallel, with no intersection until the work by Koenker in the mid-2000s. The early theoretical work in statistics and economics raised more questions than answers, but it encouraged the development of several promising new approaches and research that offered a better understanding of the challenges and possibilities at the intersection of the literatures. Panel data quantile regression allows the estimation of effects that are heterogeneous throughout the conditional distribution of the response variable while controlling for individual and time-specific confounders. This type of heterogeneous effect is not well summarized by the average effect. For instance, the relationship between the number of students in a class and average educational achievement has been extensively investigated, but research also shows that class size affects low-achieving and high-achieving students differently. Advances in panel data include several methods and algorithms that have created opportunities for more informative and robust empirical analysis in models with subject heterogeneity and factor structure.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kathrin Finke ◽  
Abdel Hannachi

&lt;p&gt;Stratospheric variability has become increasingly popular due to its potential impact on the tropospheric circulation. Extreme states of the stratospheric polar vortex have been associated with reoccurring tropospheric weather patterns more than 2-3 weeks after the initial stratospheric signal. Standard linear regression methods used to assess the statistical stratosphere-troposphere connection estimate the distribution's mean effect of a stratospheric variable as a predictor on a tropospheric response variable. However, &amp;#160;supplementary information of the impact of extreme stratospheric behavior is hidden in the tails of the distribution, revealing a different behavior than the mean. Therefore, we use quantile regression, a method that enables us to model the complete conditional distribution of the response variable. This presentation explores various quantiles of the conditional distribution to investigate the impact of stratospheric variability on the tropospheric circulation using the ERA5 reanalysis dataset. Comparison between (lagged) linear and (lagged) quantile regression reveals significant differences making the latter method a neat tool that offers valuable information about the statistical connection between the stratosphere and the troposphere.&lt;/p&gt;


Author(s):  
Martina Pons

AbstractEstimates of the average effect of pollution on birthweight might not provide a complete picture if more vulnerable infants are disproportionately more affected. To address this, I focus on the distributional effect of particulate matter pollution (PM$$_{2.5}$$ 2.5 ) on birthweight. To estimate the impact, this paper uses grouped quantile regression, a methodology developed by Chetverikov et al. (Econometrica 84(2): 809–833, 2016), which allows estimating the impact of a group-level treatment on an individual-level outcome when there are group-level unobservables. The analysis reveals nonhomogeneous effects indicating that pollution disproportionately affects infants in the lower tail of the conditional distribution, whereas average effects suggest only minimal and not economically significant impact of pollution on birthweight. The findings are also consistent across different specifications.


2018 ◽  
Vol 50 (4) ◽  
pp. 453-477 ◽  
Author(s):  
FRIEDERIKE LEHN ◽  
ENNO BAHRS

Abstract Because of considerably increased farmland prices, not only in Germany, the question arises whether farmland is still affordable for farmers. Hence, there is a call for price caps. If farmland prices are to be capped by political intervention, identifying the main farmland price determinants especially for the highest prices is essential. Using quantile regression for German standard farmland values, we find heterogeneous relationships across the estimated quantiles for several covariates. Nonagricultural factors are often more pronounced at the upper tail of the conditional distribution. We recommend focusing primarily on factors in the upper quantiles to prevent further farmland price increases.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Santi Gopal Maji ◽  
Farah Hussain

PurposeThis paper examines the impacts of technical efficiency and intellectual capital efficiency (ICE) on bank performance in India after controlling other bank-, industry-specific and macroeconomic variables.Design/methodology/approachThe authors use secondary data on listed Indian commercial banks for the period 2005–2018. The authors use data envelopment analysis (DEA) technique-based Malmquist index (MI) to obtain technical efficiency and value-added intellectual coefficient (VAIC) model for computing ICE. System generalized method of moments (GMM) (SGMM) model in a dynamic framework is used to estimate the parameters, which takes into consideration issues of endogeneity, heterogeneity and persistence of bank performance. Further, the authors use quantile regression model to examine whether the impacts of covariates are homogeneous at different locations of the conditional distribution of bank performance.FindingsThe authors find positive impact of technical efficiency and negative influence of market concentration on bank performance. The results of the study support the efficient structure (ES) hypothesis (ESH). The authors observe positive influence of intellectual capital (IC) on bank performance, which indicates the relevance of intellectual resources in enhancing banks' value. Further, the results of quantile regression indicate that the impacts of technical efficiency and ICE are more pronounced at higher quantiles of the conditional distribution of bank performance.Originality/valueThis paper in the Indian context examines the influences of technical efficiency and ICE after controlling bank-, industry-specific and macroeconomic factors.


2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 203-218 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elisabeth Waldmann

Abstract: Quantile regression quantifies the association of explanatory variables with a conditional quantile of a dependent variable without assuming any specific conditional distribution. It hence models the quantiles, instead of the mean as done in standard regression. In cases where either the requirements for mean regression, such as homoscedasticity, are violated or interest lies in the outer regions of the conditional distribution, quantile regression can explain dependencies more accurately than classical methods. However, many quantile regression papers are rather theoretical so the method has still not become a standard tool in applications. In this article, we explain quantile regression from an applied perspective. In particular, we illustrate the concept, advantages and disadvantages of quantile regression using two datasets as examples.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dickson A. Amugsi ◽  
Zacharie T. Dimbuene ◽  
Catherine Kyobutungi

AbstractObjectiveTo investigate the effects of socio-demographic factors on maternal haemoglobin (Hb) at different points of the conditional distribution of Hb concentration.MethodsWe analysed the Demographic and Health Surveys data from Ghana, Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) and Mozambique, using Hb concentration of mothers aged 15-49 years as an outcome of interest. We utilise quantile regression to estimate the effects of the socio-demographic factors across specific points of the maternal Hb concentration.ResultsThe results showed crucial differences in the effects of socio-demographic factors along the conditional distribution of Hb concentration. In Ghana, maternal education had a positive effect on Hb concentration in the 5th and 10th quantiles. The positive effect of education on maternal Hb concentration occurred across all quantiles in Mozambique, with the largest effect at the lowest quantile (5th) and the smallest effect at the highest quantile (90th). In contrast, maternal education had a negative effect on the Hb concentration of mothers in the 50th, 75th and 90th quantiles in DRC. Maternal body mass index (BMI) had a positive effect on Hb concentration of mothers in the 5th, 10th, 50th and 90th, and 5th to 50th quantiles in Ghana and Mozambique, respectively. Breastfeeding had a significant positive effect on Hb concentration across all countries, with the largest effect on Hb concentration of mothers in the lower quantiles. All the household wealth indices had positive effects on maternal Hb concentration across quantiles in Mozambique, with the largest effect among mothers in the upper quantiles. However, in Ghana, living in a poor wealth index was inversely related with Hb concentration of mothers in the 5th and 10th quantiles.ConclusionsOur results showed that the effects of socio-demographic factors on maternal Hb concentration vary along its distribution. Interventions to address maternal anaemia should take these variations into account to identify the most vulnerable groups.What this study addsQuantile regression can be used effectively to analyse anaemia dataSocio-demographic factors have differential effects on Hb at different points of its distributionInterpreting results based on the mean effect (as in OLS) only provides a partial pictureBreastfeeding has positive effect on maternal Hb concentrationThe use of multicountry data revealed differences and commonalities between countries


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