scholarly journals Non Linear Oil Price Dynamics - A Tale of Heterogeneous Speculators?

Author(s):  
Ulf D. Slopek ◽  
Stefan Reitz
Keyword(s):  
2009 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 270-283 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefan Reitz ◽  
Ulf Slopek

Abstract While some of the recent surges in oil prices can be attributed to a robust global demand at a time of tight production capacities, commentators occasionally also blame the impact of speculators for part of the price pressure. We propose an empirical oil market model with heterogeneous speculators. Whereas trend-extrapolating chartists may tend to destabilize the market, fundamentalists exercise a stabilizing effect on the price dynamics. Using monthly data for West Texas Intermediate oil prices, our STR-GARCH estimates indicate that oil price cycles may indeed emerge due to the non-linear interplay between different trader types.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cho-Hoi Hui ◽  
Chi-Fai Lo ◽  
Chi-Hin Cheung ◽  
Andrew Wong

Author(s):  
Guglielmo Maria Caporale ◽  
Davide Ciferri ◽  
Alessandro Girardi

Entropy ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 17 (12) ◽  
pp. 7167-7184 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yingchao Zou ◽  
Lean Yu ◽  
Kaijian He

2010 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 363-372 ◽  
Author(s):  
Giulio Cifarelli ◽  
Giovanna Paladino
Keyword(s):  

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