scholarly journals The Syndrome of Exchange-Rate-Based Stabilizations and the Uncertain Duration of Currency Pegs

Author(s):  
Enrique G. Mendoza ◽  
Martin Uribe

Subject The longevity and outlook for currency pegs. Significance The abandonment of the Swiss franc's three-year-old peg to the euro on January 15 put into question the longevity of pegged exchange rate arrangements. It also highlights how unusual such arrangements are today. Impacts The SNB will still have to continue to intervene in foreign-exchange markets to stabilise the Swiss franc. The SNB move will not cause Danish authorities to stop pegging the Danish krone to the euro. The near- and medium-term longevity of the Hong Kong dollar peg to the US dollar will not be questioned.


2012 ◽  
Vol 102 (3) ◽  
pp. 192-197 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé ◽  
Martín Uribe

The combination of a fixed exchange rate and downward nominal wage rigidity creates a real rigidity. In turn, this real rigidity makes the economy prone to involuntary unemployment during external crises. This paper presents a graphical analysis of alternative policy strategies aimed at mitigating this source of inefficiency. First- and second-best monetary and fiscal solutions are analyzed. Second-best solutions are prudential, whereas first-best solutions are not.


2004 ◽  
Vol 46 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-27 ◽  
Author(s):  
Barry Eichengreen

AbstractRecent experience has made clear the importance of macroeconomic stability, and exchange rate stability in particular, in generating support for regional integration. The tensions created by exchange-rate and financial volatility are clearly evident in the recent history of Mercosur and may also hinder the development of a Free Trade Area of the Americas. This essay argues that ambitious schemes for a single regional currency are not a practical response to this problem. Nor would a system of currency pegs or bands be sufficiently durable to provide a lasting solution. Instead, countries must solve this problem at home. In practice, this means adopting sound and stable monetary policies backed by a clear and coherent operating strategy, such as inflation targeting. With such policies in place, exchange rate volatility can be reduced to levels compatible with regional integration.


Author(s):  
Rizki Rahma Kusumadewi ◽  
Wahyu Widayat

Exchange rate is one tool to measure a country’s economic conditions. The growth of a stable currency value indicates that the country has a relatively good economic conditions or stable. This study has the purpose to analyze the factors that affect the exchange rate of the Indonesian Rupiah against the United States Dollar in the period of 2000-2013. The data used in this study is a secondary data which are time series data, made up of exports, imports, inflation, the BI rate, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), and the money supply (M1) in the quarter base, from first quarter on 2000 to fourth quarter on 2013. Regression model time series data used the ARCH-GARCH with ARCH model selection indicates that the variables that significantly influence the exchange rate are exports, inflation, the central bank rate and the money supply (M1). Whereas import and GDP did not give any influence.


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