scholarly journals Assessing the Effect of Current Account and Currency Crises on Economic Growth

2008 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian Aßmann
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Current Account ◽  
Currency Crises

CURRENT STATE OF PAKISTAN’S ECONOMY

2020 ◽  
pp. 13-24
Author(s):  
Vyacheslav Belokrenitsky ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Current Account ◽  
External Factors ◽  
Financial Assistance ◽  
Economic Situation ◽  
Parliamentary Elections ◽  
Current State ◽  
Current Account Deficits ◽  
The Government

The article analyzes the situation in Pakistan’s economy under the new government of the country, formed after the parliamentary elections in July 2018. It is observed that in 2018–2020 the rates of economic growth have slowed considerably. The government has faced problems of acute fiscal and current account deficits and was forced to agree to large doses of foreign financial assistance. The economic situation by the beginning of 2020 has somewhat improved, but the dependence of the economy on external factors remains, causing risks which do not allow to argue that the crisis and stagnation would be overcome in the nearest future.

Determining Influencing Factors of Currency Exchange Rate for Decision Making in Global Economy Using MARS Method

2018 ◽  
pp. 261-273 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hasan Dinçer ◽  
Ümit Hacıoğlu ◽  
Serhat Yüksel
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Decision Making ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Current Account ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
Current Account Deficit ◽  
Currency Exchange ◽  
Currency Exchange Rate ◽  
Us Dollar ◽  
Turkish Lira

The aim of this study is to identify the determinants of US Dollar/Turkish Lira currency exchange rate for strategic decision making in the global economy. Within this scope, quarterly data for the period between 1988:1 and 2016:2 was used in this study. In addition to this aspect, 10 explanatory variables were considered in order to determine the leading indicators of US Dollar/Turkish Lira currency exchange rate. Moreover, Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines (MARS) method was used so as to achieve this objective. According to the results of this analysis, it was defined that two different variables affect this exchange rate in Turkey. First of all, it was identified that there is a negative relationship between current account balance and the value of US Dollar/Turkish Lira currency exchange rate. This result shows that in case of current account deficit problem, Turkish Lira experiences depreciation. Furthermore, it was also concluded that when there is an economic growth in Turkey, Turkish Lira increases in comparison with US Dollar. While taking into the consideration of these results, it could be generalized that emerging economies such as Turkey have to decrease current account deficit and investors should focus on higher economic growth in order to prevent the depreciation of the money in the strategic investment decision.

Influence of systemic banking crisis and currency crisis on the relationship of export and economic growth

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 82-110
Author(s):  
Syed Ali Raza ◽  
Mohd Zaini Abd Karim
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Financial Crises ◽  
Currency Crises ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Banking Crises ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
The Relationship

Purpose This study aims to investigate the influence of systemic banking crises, currency crises and global financial crisis on the relationship between export and economic growth in China by using the annual time series data from the period of 1972 to 2014. Design/methodology/approach The Johansen and Jeuuselius’ cointegration, auto regressive distributed lag bound testing cointegration, Gregory and Hansen’s cointegration and pooled ordinary least square techniques with error correction model have been used. Findings Results indicate the positive and significant effect of export of goods and services on economic growth in both long and short run, whereas the negative influence of systemic banking crises and currency crises over economic growth is observed. It is also concluded that the impact of export of goods and service on economic growth becomes insignificant in the presence of systemic banking crises and currency crises. The currency crises effect the influence of export on economic growth to a higher extent compared to systemic banking crises. Surprisingly, the export in the period of global financial crises has a positive and significant influence over economic growth in China, which conclude that the global financial crises did not drastically affect the export-growth nexus. Originality/value This paper makes a unique contribution to the literature with reference to China, being a pioneering attempt to investigate the effects of systemic banking crises and currency crises on the relationship of export and economic growth by using long-time series data and applying more rigorous econometric techniques.

scholarly journals Currency Crises and Growth

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 83
Author(s):  
Arafat Hamida
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Data Model ◽  
Currency Crises ◽  
Dynamic Panel Data ◽  
Impulse Response Functions ◽  
Response Functions ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Dynamic Panel ◽  
Dynamic Panel Data Model ◽  
Negative Effect

The purpose of this research is to study the effect of currency crises on economic growth. To do this, we opted for a dynamic panel data model and impulse response functions for a sample of seventeen emerging countries over a period from 1980 to 2014. The main results of the various empirical investigations show that there is a Negative effect of currency crises on short-term economic growth.

Indonesia in 2013

Asian Survey ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 54 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-55 ◽  
Author(s):  
Geoffrey C. Gunn
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Current Account ◽  
Current Account Deficit ◽  
Trading Partner ◽  
A Current ◽  
The U.S

Ahead of upcoming elections, expectations ran high in 2013 across the archipelago for a highly pluralistic electorate. With China as a leading trading partner, the backdrop for Indonesia was steady economic growth, albeit checked by a sliding currency, a current account deficit, and a depressing culture of corruption. Mixing commerce and geopolitics, China, the U.S., and Japan all turned to Indonesia to expand their influence.

scholarly journals An Econometrics Analysis of the Impact Exchange Rate on Economic Growth of Nigeria

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 185-198
Author(s):  
Okosu Napoleon David
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Current Account ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Current Account Balance ◽  
National Account ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact

The study interrogates the impact of exchange rate on the economic growth of Nigeria from 1981 to 2020 using quarterly time-series data from the Central Bank of Nigeria and the World Bank National Account. The dependent variable in the model was Real Gross Domestic Product (RGDP), and the independent variables were Exchange Rate (EXCHR), inflation (INFL), Interest Rate (INTR), Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), Broad Money Supply (M2) and Current Account Balance of Payment (CAB). The methodology employed was the Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model which incorporates the Cointegration Bond test and Error-Correction Mechanism. The finding indicates that in the short run, EXCHR, CAB, M2 and FDI, had a positive impact on economic growth. The impact of EXCHR and CAB were significant on growth while that of M2 and FDI were insignificant to growth. However, INTR and INFL had a negative impact on economic growth with both variables being statistically significant. The bound test showed that there was a long-run relationship among the study variables, and the results from the long run reveal that the exchange rate has a positive and significant impact on economic growth. Inflation, Interest rate, FDI, Current Account Balance of Payment (CAB) and Broad Money Supply all have a positive and significant impact on economic growth. Based on the findings the study recommended that monetary authority should strictly monitor the operations of banks and other forex dealers with a view of ensuring unethical practices are adequately sanctioned to serve as a deterrent to others.

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