scholarly journals Explaining the Level of Credit Spreads: Option-Implied Jump Risk Premia in a Firm Value Model

Author(s):  
Martijn Cremers ◽  
Joost Driessen ◽  
Pascal J. Maenhout ◽  
David Weinbaum
2008 ◽  
Vol 21 (5) ◽  
pp. 2209-2242 ◽  
Author(s):  
K.J. Martijn Cremers ◽  
Joost Driessen ◽  
Pascal Maenhout

Author(s):  
Piotr Orłowski ◽  
Paul Georg Schneider ◽  
Fabio Trojani
Keyword(s):  

2014 ◽  
Vol 40 (2) ◽  
pp. 295-317 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhanglong Wang ◽  
Kent Wang ◽  
Zheyao Pan

2009 ◽  
Vol 17 (4) ◽  
pp. 75-103
Author(s):  
Byung Jin Kang ◽  
Sohyun Kang ◽  
Sun-Joong Yoon

This study examines the forecasting ability of the adjusted implied volatility (AIV), which is suggested by Kang, Kim and Yoon (2009), using the horserace competition with historical volatility, model-free implied volatility, and BS implied volatility in the KOSPI 200 index options market. The adjusted implied volatility is applicable when investors are not risk averse or when underlying returns do not follow a normal distribution. This implies that AIV is consistent with the presence of risk premia for other risk such as volatility risk and jump risk. Using KOSPI 200 index options, it is shown that the AIV outperforms other volatility estimates in terms of the unbiasedness for future realized volatilities as well as the forecasting errors.


2020 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Timm Faulwasser ◽  
Marco Gross ◽  
Willi Semmler ◽  
Prakash Loungani

AbstractAfter the financial market meltdown and the Great Recession of the years 2007–9, the financial market-macro link has become an important issue in monetary policy modeling. We develop a dynamic model that contains a nonlinear Phillips curve, a dynamic output equation, and a nonlinear credit flow equation – capturing the importance of credit cycles, risk premia, and credit spreads. Our Nonlinear Quadratic Model (NLQ) model has three dynamic state equations and a quadratic objective function. It can be used to evaluate the response of central banks to the Great Recession in moving from conventional to unconventional monetary policy. We solve the model with a new numerical procedure using estimated parameters for the euro area. We conduct simulations to explore the (de)stabilizing effects of the nonlinearities in the model. We demonstrate that credit flows, risk premia, and credit spreads play an important role as an amplification mechanism and in affecting the transmission of monetary policy. We thereby highlight the importance of the natural rate of interest as an anchor for a central bank target and the weight it places on the credit flows for the effectiveness of unconventional monetary policy. Our model is similar in structure compared to larger scale macro-econometric models which many central banks employ.


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