Understanding Reservoir Performance and Uncertainty Using a Multiple History Matching Process

2005 ◽  
Author(s):  
D.S. Bustamante ◽  
D.R. Keller ◽  
G.D. Monson
Keyword(s):  
History Matching ◽  
Reservoir Performance ◽  
Matching Process

scholarly journals Implementation of Region-Based Covariance Localization Ensemble Kalman Filter in History Matching Workflow

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 177-194
Author(s):  
Fajril Ambia ◽  
Tutuka Ariadji ◽  
Zuher Syihab ◽  
Agus Y. Gunawan
Keyword(s):  
Kalman Filter ◽  
Ensemble Kalman Filter ◽  
History Matching ◽  
Spatially Correlated ◽  
Reservoir Performance ◽  
Matching Process ◽  
True Model ◽  
Inherent Nature ◽  
The Many ◽  
Region Information

Background:History matching is an indispensable phase in the workflow of reservoir analysis. Nevertheless, there is a considerable challenge in performing the procedure in a proper scientific manner due to the inherent nature of non-unique solutions from the many-unknown variables with limited known equations.Objective:In this study, we introduce the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) method complemented by the Region-Based Covariance Localization (RCL) scheme to address the aforementioned issue.Method:The algorithms work initially by modifying the covariance localization generated by Gaussian correlation model using region information such as facies or flow unit, in which the area within a region is spatially correlated. Subsequently, the correlation between distant areas in the region is eliminated, hence promoting better modification of the distribution of the parameters while maintaining the characteristics of the predefined geological model of the reservoir.Result:Result shows that RCL scheme is capable of enhancing the performance of EnKF procedure and produce parameter distributions that is close to the true model of the reservoir.Conclusion:Implementation of the proposed methodology ameliorates the accuracy and reliability of the history matching process, thus establishing better consideration in predicting reservoir performance.

A Robust Methodology To Simulate Water-Alternating-Gas Experiments at Different Scenarios Under Near-Miscible Conditions

SPE Journal ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 22 (05) ◽  
pp. 1506-1518 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pedram Mahzari ◽  
Mehran Sohrabi
Keyword(s):  
Porous Media ◽  
History Matching ◽  
Flow In Porous Media ◽  
Phase Flow ◽  
Two Phase ◽  
Matching Process ◽  
Water Alternating Gas ◽  
Three Phase ◽  
Three Phase Flow ◽  
Cycle Dependent

Summary Three-phase flow in porous media during water-alternating-gas (WAG) injections and the associated cycle-dependent hysteresis have been subject of studies experimentally and theoretically. In spite of attempts to develop models and simulation methods for WAG injections and three-phase flow, current lack of a solid approach to handle hysteresis effects in simulating WAG-injection scenarios has resulted in misinterpretations of simulation outcomes in laboratory and field scales. In this work, by use of our improved methodology, the first cycle of the WAG experiments (first waterflood and the subsequent gasflood) was history matched to estimate the two-phase krs (oil/water and gas/oil). For subsequent cycles, pertinent parameters of the WAG hysteresis model are included in the automatic-history-matching process to reproduce all WAG cycles together. The results indicate that history matching the whole WAG experiment would lead to a significantly improved simulation outcome, which highlights the importance of two elements in evaluating WAG experiments: inclusion of the full WAG experiments in history matching and use of a more-representative set of two-phase krs, which was originated from our new methodology to estimate two-phase krs from the first cycle of a WAG experiment. Because WAG-related parameters should be able to model any three-phase flow irrespective of WAG scenarios, in another exercise, the tuned parameters obtained from a WAG experiment (starting with water) were used in a similar coreflood test (WAG starting with gas) to assess predictive capability for simulating three-phase flow in porous media. After identifying shortcomings of existing models, an improved methodology was used to history match multiple coreflood experiments simultaneously to estimate parameters that can reasonably capture processes taking place in WAG at different scenarios—that is, starting with water or gas. The comprehensive simulation study performed here would shed some light on a consolidated methodology to estimate saturation functions that can simulate WAG injections at different scenarios.

Gravity Drainage System: Investigation and Field Development Using Geological Modelling and Reservoir Simulation

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Obinna Somadina Ezeaneche ◽  
Robinson Osita Madu ◽  
Ishioma Bridget Oshilike ◽  
Orrelo Jerry Athoja ◽  
Mike Obi Onyekonwu
Keyword(s):  
Reservoir Simulation ◽  
Structural Control ◽  
History Matching ◽  
Drainage System ◽  
Production Performance ◽  
Gravity Drainage ◽  
Base Case ◽  
Proper Understanding ◽  
Field Development ◽  
Reservoir Performance

Abstract Proper understanding of reservoir producing mechanism forms a backbone for optimal fluid recovery in any reservoir. Such an understanding is usually fostered by a detailed petrophysical evaluation, structural interpretation, geological description and modelling as well as production performance assessment prior to history matching and reservoir simulation. In this study, gravity drainage mechanism was identified as the primary force for production in reservoir X located in Niger Delta province and this required proper model calibration using variation of vertical anisotropic ratio based on identified facies as against a single value method which does not capture heterogeneity properly. Using structural maps generated from interpretation of seismic data, and other petrophysical parameters from available well logs and core data such as porosity, permeability and facies description based on environment of deposition, a geological model capturing the structural dips, facies distribution and well locations was built. Dynamic modeling was conducted on the base case model and also on the low and high case conceptual models to capture different structural dips of the reservoir. The result from history matching of the base case model reveals that variation of vertical anisotropic ratio (i.e. kv/kh) based on identified facies across the system is more effective in capturing heterogeneity than using a deterministic value that is more popular. In addition, gas segregated fastest in the high case model with the steepest dip compared to the base and low case models. An improved dynamic model saturation match was achieved in line with the geological description and the observed reservoir performance. Quick wins scenarios were identified and this led to an additional reserve yield of over 1MMSTB. Therefore, structural control, facies type, reservoir thickness and nature of oil volatility are key forces driving the gravity drainage mechanism.

Work Flow History Matches Numerical Simulation Models of Fractured Shale Wells

2021 ◽  
Vol 73 (04) ◽  
pp. 60-61
Author(s):  
Chris Carpenter
Keyword(s):  
Numerical Simulation ◽  
Fracture Toughness ◽  
Hydraulic Fracturing ◽  
History Matching ◽  
Simulation Models ◽  
Work Flow ◽  
Fracture Length ◽  
Matching Process ◽  
Rate Transient Analysis ◽  
Reservoir Simulator

This article, written by JPT Technology Editor Chris Carpenter, contains highlights of paper SPE 199149, “Rate-Transient-Analysis-Assisted History Matching With a Combined Hydraulic Fracturing and Reservoir Simulator,” by Garrett Fowler, SPE, and Mark McClure, SPE, ResFrac, and Jeff Allen, Recoil Resources, prepared for the 2020 SPE Latin American and Caribbean Petroleum Engineering Conference, originally scheduled to be held in Bogota, Colombia, 17–19 March. The paper has not been peer reviewed. This paper presents a step-by-step work flow to facilitate history matching numerical simulation models of hydraulically fractured shale wells. Sensitivity analysis simulations are performed with a coupled hydraulic fracturing, geomechanics, and reservoir simulator. The results are used to develop what the authors term “motifs” that inform the history-matching process. Using intuition from these simulations, history matching can be expedited by changing matrix permeability, fracture conductivity, matrix-pressure-dependent permeability, boundary effects, and relative permeability. Introduction This article, written by JPT Technology Editor Chris Carpenter, contains highlights of paper SPE 199149, “Rate-Transient-Analysis-Assisted History Matching With a Combined Hydraulic Fracturing and Reservoir Simulator,” by Garrett Fowler, SPE, and Mark McClure, SPE, ResFrac, and Jeff Allen, Recoil Resources, prepared for the 2020 SPE Latin American and Caribbean Petroleum Engineering Conference, originally scheduled to be held in Bogota, Colombia, 17-19 March. The paper has not been peer reviewed. This paper presents a step-by-step work flow to facilitate history matching numerical simulation models of hydraulically fractured shale wells. Sensitivity analysis simulations are performed with a coupled hydraulic fracturing, geomechanics, and reservoir simulator. The results are used to develop what the authors term “motifs” that inform the history-matching process. Using intuition from these simulations, history matching can be expedited by changing matrix permeability, fracture conductivity, matrix-pressure-dependent permeability, boundary effects, and relative permeability. Introduction The concept of rate transient analysis (RTA) involves the use of rate and pressure trends of producing wells to estimate properties such as permeability and fracture surface area. While very useful, RTA is an analytical technique and has commensurate limitations. In the complete paper, different RTA motifs are generated using a simulator. Insights from these motif simulations are used to modify simulation parameters to expediate and inform the history- matching process. The simulation history-matching work flow presented includes the following steps: 1 - Set up a simulation model with geologic properties, wellbore and completion designs, and fracturing and production schedules 2 - Run an initial model 3 - Tune the fracture geometries (height and length) to heuristic data: microseismic, frac-hit data, distributed acoustic sensing, or other diagnostics 4 - Match instantaneous shut-in pressure (ISIP) and wellhead pressure (WHP) during injection 5 - Make RTA plots of the real and simulated production data 6 - Use the motifs presented in the paper to identify possible production mechanisms in the real data 7 - Adjust history-matching parameters in the simulation model based on the intuition gained from RTA of the real data 8 -Iterate Steps 5 through 7 to obtain a match in RTA trends 9 - Modify relative permeabilities as necessary to obtain correct oil, water, and gas proportions In this study, the authors used a commercial simulator that fully integrates hydraulic fracturing, wellbore, and reservoir simulation into a single modeling code. Matching Fracturing Data The complete paper focuses on matching production data, assisted by RTA, not specifically on the matching of fracturing data such as injection pressure and fracture geometry (Steps 3 and 4). Nevertheless, for completeness, these steps are very briefly summarized in this section. Effective fracture toughness is the most-important factor in determining fracture length. Field diagnostics suggest considerable variability in effective fracture toughness and fracture length. Typical half-lengths are between 500 and 2,000 ft. Laboratory-derived values of fracture toughness yield longer fractures (propagation of 2,000 ft or more from the wellbore). Significantly larger values of fracture toughness are needed to explain the shorter fracture length and higher net pressure values that are often observed. The authors use a scale- dependent fracture-toughness parameter to increase toughness as the fracture grows. This allows the simulator to match injection pressure data while simultaneously limiting fracture length. This scale-dependent toughness scaling parameter is the most-important parameter in determining fracture size.

Compressed Dimension of Reservoir Models Uncertainty Parameters for Optimized Model Calibration and History Matching Process

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ali Al-Turki ◽  
Obai Alnajjar ◽  
Majdi Baddourah ◽  
Babatunde Moriwawon
Keyword(s):  
Model Calibration ◽  
History Matching ◽  
Fine Tuning ◽  
Global History ◽  
Match Quality ◽  
History Match ◽  
Matching Process ◽  
Reservoir Models ◽  
Field Level ◽  
Well Level

Abstract The algorithms and workflows have been developed to couple efficient model parameterization with stochastic, global optimization using a Multi-Objective Genetic Algorithm (MOGA) for global history matching, and coupled with an advanced workflow for streamline sensitivity-based inversion for fine-tuning. During parameterization the low-rank subsets of most influencing reservoir parameters are identified and propagated to MOGA to perform the field-level history match. Data misfits between the field historical data and simulation data are calculated with multiple realizations of reservoir models that quantify and capture reservoir uncertainty. Each generation of the optimization algorithms reduces the data misfit relative to the previous iteration. This iterative process continues until a satisfactory field-level history match is reached or there are no further improvements. The fine-tuning process of well-connectivity calibration is then performed with a streamlined sensitivity-based inversion algorithm to locally update the model to reduce well-level mismatch. In this study, an application of the proposed algorithms and workflow is demonstrated for model calibration and history matching. The synthetic reservoir model used in this study is discretized into millions of grid cells with hundreds of producer and injector wells. It is designed to generate several decades of production and injection history to evaluate and demonstrate the workflow. In field-level history matching, reservoir rock properties (e.g., permeability, fault transmissibility, etc.) are parameterized to conduct the global match of pressure and production rates. Grid Connectivity Transform (GCT) was used and assessed to parameterize the reservoir properties. In addition, the convergence rate and history match quality of MOGA was assessed during the field (global) history matching. Also, the effectiveness of the streamline-based inversion was evaluated by quantifying the additional improvement in history matching quality per well. The developed parametrization and optimization algorithms and workflows revealed the unique features of each of the algorithms for model calibration and history matching. This integrated workflow has successfully defined and carried uncertainty throughout the history matching process. Following the successful field-level history match, the well-level history matching was conducted using streamline sensitivity-based inversion, which further improved the history match quality and conditioned the model to historical production and injection data. In general, the workflow results in enhanced history match quality in a shorter turnaround time. The geological realism of the model is retained for robust prediction and development planning.

scholarly journals Reservoir Performance Prediction using Integrated Production Modelling (MBAL Software)

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 1484-1489
Keyword(s):  
Performance Prediction ◽  
History Matching ◽  
Material Balance ◽  
Development Planning ◽  
Reservoir Rock ◽  
Rock Properties ◽  
Production Operation ◽  
Gas Field ◽  
Reservoir Performance ◽  
Fluid Properties

Reservoir performance prediction is important aspect of the oil & gas field development planning and reserves estimation which depicts the behavior of the reservoir in the future. Reservoir production success is dependent on precise illustration of reservoir rock properties, reservoir fluid properties, rock-fluid properties and reservoir flow performance. Petroleum engineers must have sound knowledge of the reservoir attributes, production operation optimization and more significant, to develop an analytical model that will adequately describe the physical processes which take place in the reservoir. Reservoir performance prediction based on material balance equation which is described by Several Authors such as Muskat, Craft and Hawkins, Tarner’s, Havlena & odeh, Tracy’s and Schilthuis. This paper compares estimation of reserve using dynamic simulation in MBAL software and predictive material balance method after history matching of both of this model. Results from this paper shows functionality of MBAL in terms of history matching and performance prediction. This paper objective is to set up the basic reservoir model, various models and algorithms for each technique are presented and validated with the case studies. Field data collected related to PVT analysis, Production and well data for quality check based on determining inconsistencies between data and physical reality with the help of correlations. Further this paper shows history matching to match original oil in place and aquifer size. In the end conclusion obtained from different plots between various parameters reflect the result in history match data, simulation result and Future performance of the reservoir system and observation of these results represent similar simulation and future prediction plots result.

Successful Case Study of Machine Learning Application to Streamline and Improve History Matching Process for Complex Gas-Condensate Reservoirs in Hai Thach Field, Offshore Vietnam

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Son Hoang ◽  
Tung Tran ◽  
Tan Nguyen ◽  
Tu Truong ◽  
Duy Pham ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Decision Tree ◽  
History Matching ◽  
Dynamic Models ◽  
Naive Bayes ◽  
Naïve Bayes ◽  
Gas Condensate ◽  
Decision Tree Classifier ◽  
Matching Process ◽  
Tree Classifier

Abstract This paper reports a successful case study of applying machine learning to improve the history matching process, making it easier, less time-consuming, and more accurate, by determining whether Local Grid Refinement (LGR) with transmissibility multiplier is needed to history match gas-condensate wells producing from geologically complex reservoirs as well as determining the required LGR setup to history match those gas-condensate producers. History matching Hai Thach gas-condensate production wells is extremely challenging due to the combined effect of condensate banking, sub-seismic fault network, complex reservoir distribution and connectivity, uncertain HIIP, and lack of PVT data for most reservoirs. In fact, for some wells, many trial simulation runs were conducted before it became clear that LGR with transmissibility multiplier was required to obtain good history matching. In order to minimize this time-consuming trial-and-error process, machine learning was applied in this study to analyze production data using synthetic samples generated by a very large number of compositional sector models so that the need for LGR could be identified before the history matching process begins. Furthermore, machine learning application could also determine the required LGR setup. The method helped provide better models in a much shorter time, and greatly improved the efficiency and reliability of the dynamic modeling process. More than 500 synthetic samples were generated using compositional sector models and divided into separate training and test sets. Multiple classification algorithms such as logistic regression, Gaussian Naive Bayes, Bernoulli Naive Bayes, multinomial Naive Bayes, linear discriminant analysis, support vector machine, K-nearest neighbors, and Decision Tree as well as artificial neural networks were applied to predict whether LGR was used in the sector models. The best algorithm was found to be the Decision Tree classifier, with 100% accuracy on the training set and 99% accuracy on the test set. The LGR setup (size of LGR area and range of transmissibility multiplier) was also predicted best by the Decision Tree classifier with 91% accuracy on the training set and 88% accuracy on the test set. The machine learning model was validated using actual production data and the dynamic models of history-matched wells. Finally, using the machine learning prediction on wells with poor history matching results, their dynamic models were updated and significantly improved.

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